A Study On The Risk Of Public-private Partnership Project In Nursing Institution

Along with the development of social economy and the adjustment of population policy,our country has been marching to the aging society.However,the implementation rate of nursing projects of public-private partnership(PPP)is low with the impact of all kinds of risk and various strategic selection of public and private departments,so as to increase the nursing pressure of the society.The paper carries out a study on the risk of nursing project under PPP mode and the strategy selection of the public and the private these two parties,exploring the reasonable risk management measurement of project and the supervision of government,The study aims at solving the strategy selection of public and private departments when facing all kinds of risk in the nursing project,so as to reduce some nursing pressure of the society.The paper firstly introduces relevant theories to analyze the situation of nursing institutions of our country and the rationality of PPP model applied in nursing project.Then,the systematic and non-systematic risks in the PPP nursing project are identified with WBS-RBS.Furthermore,risk indicator evaluation system is established with F-AHP.There is sorting,evaluation and weighting to the potential risks with indicator set of risk factors and fuzzy evaluation matrix.Finally,the risk sharing mechanism of public sector and private sector in PPP project are studied with evolutionary game model.Malthusian Maxwell equation is built up to judge the optimal partnership strategy condition of both parties,so as to have a further discussion of different cooperation strategies and risk sharing between the public and private in the short-term and long-term cooperation.Certain nursing institution PPP project in K City of H Province is selected as study object in the paper to have a study based on F-AHP and evolutionary game model.It is found in the study that(1)the overall risk level of the project shall be “moderate” according to the risk system model of 11 first-level indicators and 26 second-level indicators based on F-AHP method and the operation is relatively stable.Firstly,the risk of operation cost overspending is the highest,so there should be attention;secondly,the government credit risk,interest rate change risk andtraditional concept risk shall be highlights.(2)seen from the game results of risk sharing between public and private sectors: the private departments are in positive cooperation when the value of risk sharing ratio is between 0 and 0.5;however,the optimal decision-making shall be selected in the negotiation of both parties when the value of risk sharing ratio is more than 0.5.(3)Under the long-term cooperation,the private departments would be willing to undertake higher risk proportion when their profit is increasing.Finally,here are countermeasures and suggestion according to the conclusion of the study: creating a good policy environment firstly;building up reasonable risk management mechanism secondly;establishing effective communication mechanism thirdly and enhancing the private departments initiatives fourthly.