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Factor Analysis Of Network Perspective "The Belt And Road" Agricultural Products Trade Pattern And Its Influence On

Posted on:2019-07-24Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:P P DongFull Text:PDF
GTID:2429330545950455Subject:Applied Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Agricultural products are essential resources to meet the needs of people's daily life and ensure national economic construction and even maintain national and regional stability.Since China's entry into the WTO,the trade in agricultural products has developed rapidly.2013 China has become the largest importer of agricultural products in the world every year.However,with the change of agricultural products,the status of import scale continues to expand,and the deterioration of trade conditions made from surrounding China's agricultural prod ucts trade is facing tremendous pressure,an urgent need to develop new markets,made in 2013,The Belt and Road "strategy provides a new opportunity for the agricultural product trade,in this context from the global."The Belt and Road" agricultural prod ucts trade pattern helps to identify the characteristics of the trade of agricultural products,and provide a reference for the further development of the trade of agricultural products.The 1-24 chapter this paper selects the HS encoding the definition of WTO,also includes some other agricultural products as the research object,from the unweighted network and have the right to choose the two aspects of network nodes,degree,intensity,difference,the average nearest neighbor index was carried out on 199 2-2015 "The Belt and Road" agricultural products trade network Analysis of structure,and the core of the edge of the network structure are explored;in addition,the environmental characteristics of "The Belt and Road" strategy of agricultural products trade are described,and the use of Walktrap algorithm of community division and evolution of The Belt and Road "agricultural trade network were analyzed,using QAP for agricultural products trade network The factors influence network analysis,the results show that: " The Belt and Road " agricultural trade network closely,and node degree kernel density exhibited by the " Shuangfeng distribution " to " the trend of single peak distribution ";network point intensity showed a single peak right skewed distribution,the trade intensity difference comparison The Asian financial crisis has a great impact on the export of agricultural products,but it has little influence on the volume of trade groups in all countries,and the world financial crisis has been suppressed in these two aspects.The weighted average near neighbour is greater than the average nearest neighbor.The countries with large trade volume tend to establish trade networks with countries with many trading partners;-2015 in 1992.China,Malaysia,Singapore,Thailand and Indonesia have been at the core of the core level of China,Malaysia,Singapore,Thailand and Indonesia,and China is at the top of the core layer after 2003.In addition,the partition of The Belt and Road " agricultural trade network,agricultural products trade pattern has experienced four stages,the pattern of trade in large changes,at this stage,represented by Russia in Central Asia and Eastern Europe including most of the country's second club,after splitting and reconstruction and absorption points The third societies represented by the old Federation of Russia,such as the old Federation of Russia,and a new association which mostly belong to the EU countries such as Poland and Romania,were more stable,while the first community,including the majority of the Middle East and Western Asia,represented by Kuwait,was gradually approaching to the third societies.At the same time,QAP regression analysis shows that the level of national economic development,distance,border,language,and religion have a significant impact on the trade network of agricultural products,and the influence of the variables on the establishment of trade is greater than the effect on trade flow.
Keywords/Search Tags:Complex networks, The Belt and Road Initiative, Trade in agricultural products, Community structure, QAP
PDF Full Text Request
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