Research On The Optimization Of China’s Dairy Trade Pattern Under The Belt And Road Initiative

Dairy industry occupies an important position in China’s national economy,and is also one of the most important industries in China’s agriculture.In the meanwhile,in recent years,a series of events have threatened and impacted the international status of China’s dairy industry to a certain extent.Despite years of hard work,China’s dairy industry is still at a disadvantage in international trade.At present,Chinese dairy companies are actively building a milk source base in foreign countries through the "going out" strategy,and obtaining high quality and inexpensive milk source by using natural resource endowments with competitive advantages,and then controlling costs.Subsequently,the "Belt and Road" initiative provided a good development platform for Chinese dairy companies to invest overseas,and provided a good opportunity for China’s dairy trade development.Under the "Belt and Road Initiative" and the influence of OFDI,China,as a great dairy nation,will inevitably affect the dairy trade pattern in China and the world.It will become a matter of great concern that how to development and structure of China’s dairy trade.This study is based on comparative advantage theory,national competitive advantage theory,complex network model theory and regional development theory.First,by analyzing the development of dairy trade in China and the countries along the "Belt and Road" in the past decade,and explained the importance of China and the countries along the "Belt and Road" in the development of the dairy industry;Second,analyzing the competitiveness of China’s dairy industry and the influencing factors of competitiveness by using the competitiveness index and diamond model;Third,the use of complex network models to analyze the evolution characteristics of dairy trade between China and the countries along the "Belt and Road",and using indicators such as overall density and reciprocity in the network to study trade relations and trade Scale and exploring countries with dairy potential and strength in the network;Fourth,using constant market share models and gravity models to study the main influencing factors of dairy trade between China and the "Belt and Road" countries.In conclusion,first,China’s dairy trade structure is still in an unbalanced state,and it relatively strong dependence on imports,and import sources focus on distribution;second,China’s dairy trade competitiveness is weak,and production factors,demand factors,quality safety,correlation Industrial development and government policies affect the competitiveness of China’s dairy industry;third,it is found that Italy,New Zealand,Austria,Belarus,Poland are large dairy trade countries in the unauthorized trade networks and weighted trade networks,meanwhile,the trade volume will change the central position of trade;fourth,it positively affects the dairy trade between the two countries such as the economic,political stability and geographic distance between the two countries by using the gravity model.Based on the above conclusions,puts forward policy recommendations to optimizing China’s dairy trade structure for the government and enterprises.