Rural Regime Shifts And Transformation Development In The Loess Plateau

Apple industry is advantaged in the Loess Plateau,we selected Bin County,Changwu County,Xunyi County in the apple's eugenic area of the Loess Plateau as a case study to construct the spatial pattern and the evolution path of rural regime,to calculate the evolution threshold in different rural regime,to identify the micro factors of rural transformation development,to reveal the mutual feedback mechanism between farmer's household regime and rural transformation,using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)method,Geodetector,and multiple linear regression(MLR),from the perspective of regime shifts.Our findings were as follows.(1)The study selected 130 samples,there are 27 samples belong to the traditional agricultural regime which mainly distributed in the topography of loess girder.There are 96 samples belong to the new agricultural regime which mainly distributed in the topography of loess tableland.there are 7 samples belong to the non-agricultural regime which mainly distributed in the landform section of the valley.(2)In the evolution path of rural transformation development,the traditional agricultural regime village is in the initial position,with a low degree of development in population,economy,and agriculture.Under the external disturbance and internal push,rural regional system is start to shift and cross the threshold gradually,entering the new agricultural regime,which shows high degree of agricultural production development and relatively high degree of population and economy development.Furthermore,the degree of development in Population and economy will be further improved but the degree of agricultural development will be decreased significantly when the system switch to the non-agricultural regime.(3)The selections of farmers' livelihoods are determined by human capital and physical capital,and the livelihoods interact with economic income and material capital.Meanwhile,under the effect of external disturbance,farmer's household regime is developing orderly.As more and more farmers tend to choose similar means of livelihood,which gradually promote the rural regional regime across the threshold and take regime shift.At the same time,the process of rural transformation and development also feedback the selections of farmers' livelihoods,further affecting the structure of farmer's livelihood capital.