| Since the middle of 2016,cities where house price rapidly rising have successively issued a variety of restrictions on the administration of loans,and gradually increased control efforts.In addition,because the government put forward"house is used to live rather than investing" guidelines,the real estate market is cooling to control economic risk,real estate development enterprises are confronted with many risk factors,such as policy risk and economic environment risk,and may challenge the risk identification and control ability of real estate development enterprises.Based on this practical need,taking the theory of risk management at home and abroad as the research basis,this paper comprehensively analyzes and identifies the major risk factors that the real estate development process may face from the macroscopic and microscopic levels,and introduces the common methods of risk identification and the countermeasures that can be taken by the specific risk factors.Finally,the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to evaluate the risk of Lin' An Magnolia Garden project,and the specific measures were given.This paper shows the following points:First,based on the risk management theory according to China's real estate market development situation,this paper analyzed not only the micro-impact factors,but also from the macro-analysis of the national Housing system,land system and other major institutional changes in the direction.Secondly,based on the characteristics of real estate market and other literatures,this paper sets up a simple and practical risk index analysis and evaluation system,starting from the sensitive factors most concerned by developers,considering various risk factors synthetically.Thirdly,because of the fuzziness of risk degree,this paper uses fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to quantitatively evaluate the risk factors in the development process of real estate projects. |
