Study On The Contribution Of Tourism To Economic Growth In Xinjiang

In recent years,with the rapid development of social economy and the improvement of people's living standards and the increase of leisure time,tourism has gradually become the basic need of people.Holiday,leisure and entertainment,accommodation,catering and shopping are all elements of tourism development.Tourism plays an important role in expanding domestic demand,increasing national income,promoting related industries,promoting employment and increasing foreign exchange income.The impact of tourism development on economic growth is becoming more and more significant.It is worth that tourism has different influence on regions with different economic strength.The mainstream research develops from multiplier principle.Then from simple mathematical model to complex mathematical model to compound model,we analyze the impact of tourism development on economic growth in a country or region from two aspects of long-term equilibrium and causality.However,in the past,single research can not accurately verify the relationship between the two.Whether a regional tourism development has a spatial effect on economic growth should be taken into consideration.Therefore,it is of great significance for the development of regional economy and tourism to correctly assess the impact of tourism on economic growth in different regions.Xinjiang is rich in all kinds of tourism resources.No matter from the amazing natural landscape or the unique multi-ethnic culture,tourism has become the main force to promote the development of Xinjiang's economy.In recent years,the overall size of the scale of development of Xinjiang tourism industry continues to expand,in support of the national strategy,The Belt and Road policy and global tourism concept,the tourism industry has shown a scene full of vigour.Therefore,the tourism industry plays a more and more important role in the national economic development of all the cities and cities of Xinjiang.How to evaluate tourism industry positioning in Xinjiang Silk Road Economic Belt strategy in construction;how to measure the contribution of Xinjiang tourism on economic output,tourism and economic relations between regions around the city in the spatial correlation,this paper made a quantitative discussion.This paper applies economic models and spatial econometric methods to the study of the relationship between tourism and economic growth.It not only explores the spatial effect of economic growth,but also objectively estimates the contribution of tourism to economic growth.In this paper,the contribution of tourism development to economic growth has been systematically expounded at home and abroad,according to regional economic growth theory,spatial economics theory and geography theory.With the 15 prefectures in Xinjiang in 2002-2016 years time series data and cross-section data of 15 prefectures,the spatial autocorrelation test of multi regional economic space,the contribution rate of tourism to economic growth and the spatial difference between tourism and economic contribution were tested.Based on the Cobb Douglas production function and spatial econometric model,the contribution rate of tourism development to the economic growth and the spatial correlation between the two factors in Xinjiang Prefecture are analyzed empirically.The results show that there is a positive correlation between the economic status of Xinjiang and other cities and regions.The contribution of tourism and economy in every prefecture of Xinjiang is correlated in space.The spatial correlation for each city domestic tourism contribution to economic growth and development of the regional economy is gradually decreasing,the economically developed areas to underdeveloped areas,tourism's contribution to economic growth gradually reduced.This article is divided into six parts.The first part puts forward the problems and background of the study,and the necessity of the research.The second part is the literature review.Based on the theory of regional economic growth,regional economic spatial structure and core periphery theory,we combine these classic theories of economics with spatial econometric methods to build an analytical framework for the relationship between tourism and economy.The third part of the analysis of the Xinjiang area and the local tourism and economic growth evolution and the present situation,more fully explains the difference between the local economic development level and regional tourism.The fourth part uses Cobb Douglas production function analysis of linear local tourism development on the economic growth rate of regional tourism,the elasticity coefficient of the economic output difference.The fifth part is the spatial empirical analysis.The 2002-2016 year time series data of GDP spatial autocorrelation test,using Moran index Moran 'I,local Moran scatter map shows the economic spatial correlation;secondly using cross section data by setting the spatial econometric model with the LM test,the quantitative analysis of the tourism spatialeffect on economic contribution.The sixth part,the objective evaluation of the contribution of Xinjiang domestic tourism in the development of the national economy,and puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the economic development of Xinjiang,in theory,long-term development,sustainable development of the tourism industry will bring great contribution to economic growth,and the lag of tourism development will hinder economic growth.Therefore,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to accelerate the development of tourism industry,in order to promote the healthy development of Xinjiang's regional economy.