The Research Of Influencing Factors Of Manufactured Goods Intra-industry Trade Of Sino-german

Since 1960 s,the model of intra-industry trade has been used in international trade widely,many scholars research and have put forward a series of related theories.With the continuous improvement of the global economic development level and the deepening of international division of labor,intra-industry trade becomes more and more in line with the requirements of the development of international trade,and has become the main content of the modern international trade research.While as the main body of national economy,manufactured industry,as the main body of the national economy,is the foundation of the country,the building of the country and the powerful country.At the moment of the growing prosperity of the international trade,the research on the intra-industry trade of the manufactured industry is also becoming more and more important.Since the reform and opening up,China's manufactured industry has developed rapidly,but it is still a certain gap compared with the manufactured level in the world's advanced countries.In order to change the current situation of China's manufactured industry,the “government work report” during the two sessions of 2015 for the first time put forward the “China made 2025” action plan,helping transformation and upgrading of China's manufactured industry.As a major manufactured country,as a pillar industry in Germany,the manufactured industry has contributed greatly to the economic growth of Germany over the years.As early as 2013,Germany put forward the “industry 4” strategy,and the intelligent manufactured led industrial revolution made Germany continue to maintain the position of manufactured power.Therefore,linking the “China made 2025” with the Germany “industrial 4” strategy to achieve the effective docking of the Sino-German manufactured strategy will help China to improve the level of the manufactured industry,promote the adjustment of the industrial structure and the transformation and upgrading.In the background,it is particularly important for the analysis of the development of manufactured trade,which is the main form of industrial production,and is of great significance to the further development of bilateral trade.This paper first reviews the domestic and foreign researches on intra-industry trade,and also describes the domestic research on manufactured products.Then it introduces the related theories and measurement methods of intra-industry trade,lists several representative theoretical models to explain the formation mechanism of intra-industry trade;calculates the intra-industry trade level and trade types,selects the GL index,Thom & McDowell trade type method,according to the results: the intra-industry trade refers to the Sino-German industrial manufactured goods.The GL index has been at a low level,and the vertical intra industry trade index calculated by the marginal intra industry trade index is far greater than the horizontal intra industry trade index.After the further analysis of the current trade status of China and Germany and the intra-industry trade level of industrial manufactured goods,the results show that the intra-industry trade level of Sino-German manufactured goods is mainly in labor intensive products,and the performance of capital intensive products is poor.Finally,according to the national characteristics and industrial characteristics,this paper mainly selects the difference of per capita income level,average market size difference,foreign direct investment,trade openness and sustainable economic development.Using the data of 1992-2016 years,the linear regression method is used to establish the measurement model,and the relationship between the variables is analyzed.Then,some suggestions are put forward on how to promote the development of intra-industry trade in China and Germany and improve the level of China's manufactured industry.