Research On Comprehensive Evaluation Of Macro-control Policies Effectiveness On Harbin's Real Estate Market

Since 2003,the macro-control policies on real-estate market did not meet the expected control objectives,which shows that the impact of real estate macro-control policy needs to reflect and think deeply.Scientific comprehensive evaluation of the effect of macro-control policies on real estate over the years is the key to examine the gains and losses of the past policy and the premise of the future policy adjustment.By reviewing and summarizing the main discussion on the macro-control of real estate at home and abroad,it has been found that so far,China has not yet matured the real estate macro-control policy evaluation index system,has not yet established a unified theoretical guidance and systematic approach,affecting the policy effectiveness comprehensive evaluation of reliability.Therefore,this paper starts from the theoretical basis of studying the effect of macro-control policy of real estate.First,it summarizes the conceptual system and characteristics of real estate,real estate macro-control and real estate macro-control policy effect,and then carries on the goal,means,principle and significance of real estate macro-control Theoretical analysis.And on the basis of this,from the perspective of the time and their corresponding policies,the period of the implementation of the macro-control policy of real estate in China is divided into three stages: strengthening the control period,controlling the development period and the key development period And analyzes the market reaction and policy effect after the implementation of each policy.And then draws on the domestic and foreign research results,combined with China's actual national conditions,based on scientific,comprehensive,operable,dynamic and comparable indicators such as the principle of screening,out of the scale formed after the 14 ratio indicators,There is a lack of evaluation model to establish a theoretical model of factor analysis,the purpose of China's real estate macro-control policies for comprehensive evaluation,and effectively avoid the original variable weight scientific problems.Finally,taking the real estate market data of Harbin from 2004 to 2016 as the empirical sample,the market index which directly affects the real estatemacro-control policy is summarized as the comprehensive evaluation index system of China 's real estate macro-control policy according to the model and the practical economic significance,and the calculation of each level Indicators of the factor score and comprehensive score,combined with the actual data and related control policies on the Harbin real estate macro-control policy effect of a comprehensive evaluation and found that the 2011 real estate macro-control policy for the implementation of the most successful over the years the real estate macro-control Policy;the other hand,in 2009 the real estate macro-control policy effect is not ideal.