Research On The Influence Factors Of Export Growth Stability And Countermeasures In Hubei Province

With the deepening of economic globalization,export trade as an engine to promote world economic growth,play a very important role in the economic development of various countries.At the same time,its stability will also has a significant effect: the steady growth of export trade is conducive to the development of a country's productive forces and promote the sustainable economic growth.The instability of export trade will make foreign exchange income unstable,and affect the stability of investment and even reduce,ultimately hinder the healthy development of all industries and even the whole national economy.In recent years,Hubei province as the inland area,along with its foreign trade opening degree unceasingly to enhance,its economy has been increasingly affected by the world economy,the fluctuation of export trade's growth has also become more frequently.To study the stability of export trade growth in Hubei province is of great practical significance to keep its healthy development of the export trade and the national economy.On the basis of combing the relevant research achievements at home and abroad,combining with the concrete reality of Hubei,this thesis studied the characteristics of Hubei's export growth instability,analyzed the main factors affecting the stability of export trade in Hubei province,and put forward some countermeasures to promote the stable growth of Hubei export trade.This thesis included the following parts: The first chapter expounded the research background,significance and research methods,combined and summarized the research results from the domestic and foreign scholars,which about the export growth stability;the second chapter discussed the theoretical basis of the study,the theoretical basis of this study included comparative advantage theory,economic cycle theory and the theory of developing countries' foreign trade;the third chapter analyzed the characteristics of Hubei export growth in scale and structure;the fourth chapter calculated the instability index of export growth in Hubei and expounded its unstable stage characteristics;the fifth chapter empirically studies the relationship between the instability of export growth and its influencing factors in Hubei,Through the establishment of export growth instability factors model in Hubei,combined with the actual data,used co-integration analysis,granger causality test,variance decomposition,analyzed the specific factors which impact the short-term fluctuations and long-term growth stability of export in Hubei;the sixth chapter combined theoretical research with the actual situation in Hubei,it put forward some countermeasures to promote the steady growth of export trade in Hubei.