Research On The Influence Of Luck Beliefs On Risk Decision-making

Risk decision-making refers to the factors that are difficult to control for the task performed by the decision-making subject.There may be several different results in completing the task,and certain risks need to be taken before the decision-maker can achieve the expected goal.In recent years,research in the field of risk decision-making has focused on the factors that affect risk decision-making.Fortunate unlucky)beliefs,as a kind of self-luck awareness of decision-making subjects,have attracted increasing attention from researchers in the field of risk decision-making.Several studies have shown that lucky numbers or lucky beliefs can be gamblers who re-bet in lottery or gambling behaviors.The impact of such lucky numbers and lucky beliefs on lottery and gambling behaviors is highly correlated with the impact of lucky beliefs on risky decision-making behaviors.On the basis of previous research,this research first reviews the latest developments in research on lucky beliefs and risk decision-making,and explores the impact of launching lucky beliefs and unlucky beliefs on risk determination and risk decision-making under risk uncertainty.Consider the issue of initiation of the lucky unlucky)belief,including both the above-threshold and below-threshold activation.Finally,relevant theories are used to explain the impact of lucky unlucky)beliefs on risky decisions.This study designed three studies to explore the impact of lucky and unlucky beliefs on risky decisions.Study 1 consists of two small experiments,Experiment 1a: Lucky beliefs and unlucky beliefs of participants who started above the threshold.Through the dice gambling task,we explored the impact of lucky / unlucky beliefs on risk decision making under risk determination.Experiment 1b is basically the same as experiment 1a.Experiment 1b uses the subliminal activation method to explore the impact of lucky / unlucky beliefs on risk decision-making in the case of risk determination.Study 2 consists of two small experiments,Experiment 2a: Initiating Lucky Belief and Unlucky Belief Above the Threshold.Through balloon simulation of decision-making tasks including profit frame and loss frame),this paper explores the relationship between lucky belief and risk decision-making under uncertain risk Impact.Experiment 2b uses a sub-threshold startup method,and similarly uses a balloon simulation decision task under the framework of gains and losses to explore the impact of lucky beliefs on risk decision-making in the case of uncertain risk.The third study is to explore the impact of lucky / unlucky beliefs on risky decisions in real situations through cash and scratch.Through the analysis of experimental data,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)In the case of risk determination,compared with unlucky convictions,the participants who started the lucky convictions were more risk-taking.Participants showed a higher risk of luck belief in both above-threshold and under-threshold activation.(2)In risk decision-making,subjects showed greater conservatism.(3)In the case of uncertain risks,the participants who initiated the lucky belief showed higher risk-taking,and the results of the above-threshold and sub-threshold startup were the same.In addition,the participants showed higher risk-taking under the gain framework than under the loss framework.(4)In the real situation,the participants who start the lucky belief above the threshold have a higher risk.There was no significant difference in the risk-taking between the participants' lucky conviction and the lucky conviction under the threshold.And in the real situation,the subjects showed greater conservatism.