Study Of Investment Risk Of Characteristic Agricultural Based On Industrial Cluster

Agriculture is the foundation of the country,and the foundation of the national economy.In the past more than 30 years of reform and opening up,China's agriculture and rural economy has entered a new stage,It takes full advantages of the agriculture respectively,and takes the path of characteristic agriculture,develops the characteristic agriculture.Moreover,the development of characteristic agriculture is a gradual process to break the single agriculture production limited,and then form the characteristics of industrial agriculture,industry,service integration.Therefore,in this paper,on the reference of the combination of "characteristic","cluster" and "risk",on the basis of the research background and achievements domestic and abroad,study the risk management of characteristic agricultural industrial cluster in theory research,discuss the economic significance of characteristic agriculture and processes and methods of risk management.Based on western economics,agricultural economics,management,industry economics,comparative economics,development economics and related theoretical,study Pingdu characteristic agricultural industrial cluster in Shandong province as an example,discusses risk identification methods and techniques,summarize the problems and the insufficiency.Based on characteristic agricultural industrial cluster study,on the perspective of cluster,build the investment project risk evaluation index system,including systemic risk,systemic risk and selection of secondary indicators and weights determination.The selection of indicators combined with local actual situation and expert opinion,carries on detailed induction and summary,and determines finally.The weights of indicators are calculated by The AHP method and rough set.Based on the evaluation index system of risk,this paper uses the improved BP neural network evaluation method to make objective evaluation to the investment risk,and takes comprehensive and detailed analysis to the evaluation results,points out that the main points of characteristic agricultural industrial cluster investment risk and risk regulation,and put forxvard the corresponding risk managemelt strategy.Finally,take a comprehensive summary and outlook to characteristic agriculture investment risk,summarize the achievements,point out the research limitation and the insufficiency,expound the countermeasures and measures of characteristic agricultural industrial cluster risk.Therefore,this research improving the investment risk management level of Dazeshan characteristic industrial cluster makes the role of reference.Provide certain theory support for the decision characteristic agriculture investment risk management of local government in the future,make practical significance and practical value.