The Impact Of Urban Housing Price On The Population Migration In China

With the acceleration of industrialization and urbanization,population migration has become an inevitable phenomenon in China's economic and social development.The large-scale migration move into the city and it brings the housing problem.The house is an important source of livelihood and material security for the migrant in the city.The living standard is also an important determinant of the city's quality of life and social integration.In this context,this article takes the macro-micro impact of urban housing prices on population migration as the entry point,clarifies the impact of housing prices on population migration,and puts forward the corresponding measures to solve the problem of population migration and housing,in order to promote the process of urbanization and improve the quality of urbanization.Based on the theory of population migration and the impact of housing prices on population migration,this paper will divide the impact into macro and micro levels.The macro level is the impact of housing prices on the direction of migration,migration scale,and migration structure;the micro level is the impact on population migration costs and migration willingness.On the macro level,this paper adopts panel data of 69 large and medium-sized cities from 2000 to 2014 to integrate the housing price,population migration,and industrial structure into a dynamic analysis framework,and constructs a panel var model,the empirical findings:first,the housing price's impact on the population migration is negative,the housing price is higher,the net migration rate is lower;Secondly,the industrial structure has a positive impact on population migration,and the optimization of urban industrial structure can attract the population to move in.Thirdly,in the sub-region,there is a significant negative effect of housing price on population migration in the eastern and central parts of the country.The western region is not significant,and the negative effect in the eastern is smaller than that in the central part.On the micro level,the paper uses the micro-data of the 2014 national floating population dynamic monitoring survey and the macro data of the 2014 China Regional Economic Statistics Yearbook and constructs a binary logit model of housing prices and population migration.Measurement results show that,first,the housing price's impact on the floating population migration intend to present the"inverted U" type,when the city level of house prices are on the left side of "threshold",the impact on floating population migration willingness is positive,while on the right side,it is Converse;Secondly,the employment quality,population,time and scope of floating population,and the social and economic conditions of the cities will also affect the willingness of the population to move;Thirdly,according to the classification measurement,the relationship between housing prices and relocation of the first and second type cities are presented as "Inverted U" type,while the third type city is"positive U" type.Based on the conclusion,this paper puts forward some policy Suggestions on the optimization of urban economy scale,the supply of social public service and the system construction.The main novelty of this paper is that,first,the factors affecting population migration are studied from the perspective of housing prices,which is obviously different from previous studies of socio-economic perspectives in similar literature;second,attention is paid to the study of the migration of housing prices from the microscopic perspective impact,which is obviously different from previous studies of the same kind of literature,mainly from the macro perspective.