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Research On The Change Of Industrial Structure And Its Influencing Factors In Anhui Province

Posted on:2020-11-06Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:T W YangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2439330575471035Subject:Applied Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The optimization and transformation of the industrial structure are at the heart to achieve stable thrifty growth.Profitable growth will also promote the optimal transformation of the industrial structure.A reasonable industrial structure can promote rapid economic growth.When the industrial structure and economic development are not coordinated,it is necessary to adjust the industrial structure.Specific research comprises the following five parts.The first part is preface.It presents the study context and writing methods of this paper.Inspection related study results The methods are explained in this paper mainly include input-output analysis and DPG factor analysis.The second part is an overview of industrial structure theory.It mainly introduces the related concepts of industrial structure.Carding the accustomed rules and influencing factors of industrial structure changes.Finally,the input-output table and input-output analysis are introduced,and the relevant indicators used in this paper are included.The third part is the analysis of the economic growth effect of Anhui Province.Firstly,it analyzes the growth rate of the three industries in Anhui province.The results demonstrate that the growth rate of the output value of the three industries in Anhui province shows an upward trend since 2000.Secondly,it analyzes the evolution trend of industrial structural mode in Anhui province.The industrial structural in Anhui province changed from the original "one,two and three" mode to"two,one and three" mode,and finally stabilized in "two,three" mode.Finally,granger causality test is carried out in Anhui province.After that,a regression model was constructed based on the co-integration test of three industries in Anhui province.It is possible to conclude that the secondary industry in Anhui province drives the economy the most and the primary industry the least.The fourth part is the analysis of the influencing factors of the industrial structure change in Anhui Province.First,the selected input-output table data are sorted according to the research needs.Then,the DPG factor analysis model was created two time periods(2002-2007,2007-2012)to quantitatively study the influencing factors of industrial structure changes in Anhui Province.The results show that technological progress and net exports are the major factors driving the transformation of industrial structure in these two periods.The fifth part is the summary and outlook.This part first summarizes the research process of this paper.Then it analyzes the history of three industrial developments and puts forward suggestions for promoting the adjustment of industrial structure in Anhui Province.Including independent innovation to promote transformation and development,speed up development of the service industry,expand foreign trade cooperation,and play the role of the government's macro-control.
Keywords/Search Tags:Anhui Province, Industrial structure, Input-output analysis, DPG
PDF Full Text Request
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