| Under the dual influence of energy upgrading and environmental protection pressure,new energy vehicles stand out from the development model of traditional vehicles and are divided into hybrid power and fuel cells.Since 2015,China’s new energy automobile industry has entered a stage of rapid development,and its production and sales volume ranks first in the world for many consecutive years.With the maturity of new energy technologies and the continuous improvement of infrastructure such as charging piles,the new energy automobile industry will become an important pillar industry for the future development of the national economy and the future development of the automobile industry.In this context,H City makes full use of regional advantages,relying on Qingdao Jimo FAW North China Base Project,Beiqi Laixi New Energy Vehicle Project,Qingdao Chengyang BYD New Energy Vehicle Project,attracting FAW,BAIC and BYD to the government.Under the premise,the PPP model will be introduced,and a new energy auto parts industrial park will be planned to guide the auto parts industry.As a new energy vehicle supporting project,the project is far less mature than the traditional automobile supporting project,the market is still in the cultivation period,and the investment scale is large,the cooperation cycle is long,the policy stability is poor,and the interests of various stakeholders are different.The cooperation between capital and government faces many risks.Therefore,how to prejudge the possible risks of the project,analyze the risk factors,and propose coping strategies,thereby reducing the investment risk of social capital parties,alleviating the government’s financial pressure,ensuring the project process,and providing theoretical guidance and practical inspiration for the project’s risk management.It is especially important.This paper applies the following four steps to study the risk management of the project: the first step,literature research.Through reviewing domestic and foreign literatures,master the research status of risk management of PPP projects,compare and analyze the advantages and disadvantages of different research ideas,and select the risk identification and risk assessment methods to be used in this paper.The second step is risk identification.Firstly,the five main characteristics of the project’s risk are described in combination with the specific situation of the PPP project of the H New Energy Auto Parts Industrial Park.Secondly,the risk factors of the project are identified by the literature research method and statistical principle.The Delphi method is adopted again.The way of the inquiry is to identify the risk factors of the project twice.Finally,the principle of work breakdown structure is used to decompose the project risk layer by layer,and a risk index system with multiple levels is constructed.The third step is risk assessment.Through the Delphi method,the probability of occurrence of each risk factorand the degree of influence on the project in the final stage of the PPP project risk index system of H New Energy Auto Parts Industrial Park are scored,and the fuzzy set theory is used to deal with the scoring situation to reduce the subjective influence.Enter the data to build the membership degree matrix of the project risk level,determine the fuzzy evaluation results,and finally divide the project risk factors into five levels.In this step,by combining the Delphi method,the expert investigation method,the WBS principle and the fuzzy set theory,the evaluation process is more organized and the evaluation results are more hierarchical.The fourth step is risk response.Combining the results of risk assessment and the actual situation of the project,research and develop specific measures to deal with and avoid various risks,and form a set of practical and operational project risk management methods.The analysis methods and ideas can also be other new energy sources.PPP projects or industrial park PPP projects provide reference. |
PDF Full Text Request