Risk Assessment And Decision-Making Of Enterprise Cooperative Innovation

With the continuous development of knowledge economy and the acceleration of informationization process,it becomes more and more difficult for a single enterprise to carry out technological innovation only by relying on its own resources.In view of this,some enterprises turn their eyes to the outside world and begin to seek cooperation with other enterprises so as to obtain the sharing of innovation resources and jointly carry out technological research and development,that is,enterprise cooperative innovation.Cooperative innovation disperses the risks that enterprises should bear independently,but because of the uncertainty of cooperation,this uncertainty may lead to greater risks,resulting in incalculable losses.Therefore,it is of great value to evaluate the risk of cooperative innovation.Aiming at the risk of cooperative innovation of enterprises,the following research work is mainly carried out around the cooperative innovation risk of single enterprise,the cooperative game between two enterprises and the complex network risk formed by cooperative innovation of multi-enterprises in the industry.Firstly,Aiming at the problem that decision-makers have different opinions due to different backgrounds,but it is difficult to convince each other,this paper regards the risk assessment environment of cooperative innovation as a hesitant fuzzy environment,and defines it as a multi-attribute decision-making problem whose attribute value is hesitant fuzzy element.Considering the decision-makers' preference for risk,this paper introduces the prospect theory and calculates the prospect value function according to the distance formula of hesitant fuzzy element.A hesitant fuzzy multi-attribute decision making method based on prospect theory is established.This method fully considers the difference of people's risk preference when facing profit and loss,makes the decision result more in line with people's real intention,and solves the problem that traditional TOPSIS directly uses Euclidean distance as a yardstick to make the evaluation result unreasonable,so as to obtain more reasonable decision-making effect?Secondly,Considering that cooperative innovation is decided by both enterprises,based on the asymmetric information characteristics of cooperative innovation between enterprises,this paper applies game theory to analyze the causes of the asymmetric information.Then,through two-stage sequential game analysis,the strategies of cooperative innovation between enterprises are analyzed.With Nash's different choices under the circumstances of maximizing their respective interests,and attempts to make data simulation to provide theoretical basis for enterprise cooperation?Finally,starting from the whole industry,Consider a single enterprise as a network node and a cooperative relationship as a side,it is regarded as a complex network system.By analyzing the indicators of the complex network,an evaluation model based on the importance of nodes is established.With the help of MATLAB and GEPHI software,a simulation model of the complex network of enterprise cooperative innovation is constructed.Through comprehensive evaluation of the evaluation indicators,the risk situation of the network is analyzed.This article includes graph 5,the table 33 and thereference 91?...