The Impact Of Logistics Performance On China’s Chemical Product Exports ——Based On The Belt And Road Perspective

Logistics performance has a heterogeneous effect on the export cost of products.The logistics performance index of trading partners is an important variable in the study of the status of China’s export of chemical products to the "Belt and Road" countries.This article mainly studies the impact of the 2007-2016 logistics performance index on the heterogeneity of China’s export of chemical products to other "Belt and Road" countries and regions,and puts forward the corresponding policy suggestion.After President Xi proposed a cooperative initiative to build the "Belt and Road" in 2013,China has strengthened economic and trade ties with the "Belt and Road" member states,developed multiple infrastructure construction projects,and helped many countries improve their logistics and economic levels,created a new environment for international trade.The logistics development level of a country is closely related to the cost of time and money,so it has an important impact on the competitiveness of export products.The impact of a country’s logistics level on the export of chemical products is particularly special.Most chemical products are liquid and solid,some products are corrosive,and any problems in production and circulation will bring huge costs.The chemical industry also occupies a very important position in the development of the national economy,and its development speed and scale directly affect the social economy.Therefore,it is necessary to study the relationship between logistics performance index and chemical product trade.Through literature analysis and descriptive analysis,this paper studies the influencing factors of logistics on China’s export of chemical products to the "Belt and Road"countries.First of all,regarding the literature analysis method,in the existing literature,most scholars study the effects of logistics performance on trade and the trade of chemical products,so this article mainly sorts out the literature in these two areas and sorts out the research process,methods and conclusions of each scholar to provide ideas for the research.Then on the descriptive analysis method,the third chapter of this paper mainly uses the descriptive analysis method to study the logistics performance level of China and the "Belt and Road" countries.Through the collection and calculation of the logistics performance index of China and the "Belt and Road" countries from 2007 to 2016,comparing them with the world average to get a clearer understanding of the current status of logistics development in China and the "Belt and Road" countries.The article is divided into five chapters,the first chapter is the introduction.The introduction is composed of research background and significance,research content and framework,literature review,innovations and limitations.The main content of Chapter two is the basic concepts and theories.The basic concepts include the logistics performance index,the spatial scope of the "Belt and Road"countries,and chemical products;Gravity model and trade cost theory.The third chapter analyzes the logistics performance index of China and the "Belt and Road" regions from 2007 to 2016 and the current status of China’s chemical product exports.As far as the logistics performance index is concerned,China’s logistics performance in 2007-2016 is above the world average.The logistics performance in the three regions of the "Belt and Road" Middle East Asia,West Asia,and Central and Eastern Europe is higher than the world average,and the logistics performance in Central Asia is relatively backward.Judging from the current status of China’s chemical product exports,there are three main problems in China’s chemical product exports,namely rising fluctuations in export volume,uneven geographical distribution of export proportions,and the need to adjust the structure of chemical products.The fourth chapter is the empirical analysis,including the research hypothesis,the setting of the model,the selection of variables and data sources,the empirical analysis of the total amount,the empirical analysis by industry,and the GMM test.In this paper,the gravitational model is slightly modified,and the total amount-comprehensive indi model,total amount-specific indicator model,sub-industry-comprehensive index model,and sub-industry-specific index model are established respectively.It is concluded by regression of the four models that the impact of logistics performance indicators on the export volume of chemical products has a two-way effect.The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy recommendations.This paper uses a combination of chart analysis and empirical analysis to find that the logistics development level of the "Belt and Road" countries is unbalanced,China’s chemical product exports to the "Belt and Road" countries fluctuate and the logistics development level has a twoeffect on China’s chemical product exports.Based on three conclusions,three policy recommendations were proposed.The recommendations included strengthening the development of chemical product trade in bordering countries,encouraging the export of fine chemical products,and improving the level of logistics performance in China.About the innovation of this article,first of all,in terms of the research object,the existing literature rarely sets the research object as the trade between China and the "Belt and Road" countries,and this article studies the export of chemical products by countries along the "Belt and Road".Secondly,in terms of research methods,most of the existing literature use the CMS model to study textiles,apparel,shoes,hats and other textile industrial products.Analyze it in combination with individual logistics performance indicators.Finally,in terms of variable selection,the existing literature rarely selects logistics performance indicators to study chemical product trade,and this paper selects logistics performance indicators,and studies the impact of logistics on chemical product trade through chart analysis and empirical analysis.Compared with the innovation of this article,the shortcoming of this article is the lack of data.Since the World Bank only counts logistics performance indicators every one to two years,there are no statistical data on logistics performance indicators in individual years.Although this article fills in the missing data through linear regression analysis,the completed data and real data will be different.