| Tradable green certificates are proof of consuming green power,and the green energy supply chain is one of the important factors affecting green certificate trading.With the rapid development of photovoltaic and wind energy,the structure of green energy power generation by power suppliers is bound to change,thereby affecting the green certificate trading market.Therefore,from the perspective of the industrial supply chain,studying the development of green energy is crucial for understanding the changes in the green certificate trading market.Currently,empirical research on the supply chain,the impact of renewable energy on green certificate trading,and related management decision-making support have achieved certain results.However,existing research has not fully explored how changes in the production of mixed energy power suppliers under different supply-demand relationships in various green energy supply chains affect green certificate trading.This article focuses on the following issues:(1)How the development of photovoltaic energy affects the green certificate trading market.This article uses ABS modeling to construct a simulation model of the green certificate trading market that integrates the photovoltaic industry supply chain.By simulating and comparing the changes in the green certificate trading market under different supply-demand relationships in various photovoltaic industry supply chains,the study shows that different supply-demand conditions in the photovoltaic energy industry will affect the stability of the green certificate market.In the context of the rapid development of photovoltaic energy,the green certificate trading market will develop even faster,and green certificate prices will also drop faster.(2)How wind power and solar power substitution effect impact the green certificate trading market.Based on the previous work,this article constructs a simulation model of the green certificate trading market that has the substitution effect between photovoltaic and wind power development.The study analyzes the changes in the green certificate trading market under the coordinated development of wind energy and photovoltaic energy.The research results show that the substitution effect of wind and solar energy has a significant impact on power suppliers’ investment production and the green certificate trading market.To ensure the stable development of the green certificate trading market,it is necessary to maintain the relative stability of the supply chain of green energy such as wind energy and photovoltaic energy. |
PDF Full Text Request