| As a“Barometer” of government work efficiency and a“Benchmark” of public security management level,the sense of security of the masses has a tremendous impact on social and economic development.With the development of economy and the great change of social structure in China,the people’s sense of security is facing great challenges.However,the existing security-related surveys are limited to their own fields,and have not conducted a comprehensive exploration of the sense of security.In terms of the indicators reflecting the sense of security,the index is single and deficient,which can not effectively reflect the real situation of the sense of security of the masses.In the evaluation of People’s sense of security,the unreasonable weighting among indexes and rough evaluation process lead to the instability of the index of sense of security,which is affected by individual data,and the results are deviated from the reality.In the exploration of the related factors affecting the sense of security,we only focus on the objective environmental factors,but neglect the internal factors of the subject.Therefore,this article through the establishment of a more comprehensive,more comprehensive security index system,to achieve a true reflection of the people’s sense of security.By using the combination weight method to select the optimal weight to calculate the sense of se curity,it can truly and effectively reflect the sense of security of the local people.Firstly,through the summary of the existing literature,nine indicators including natural security,ecological security,food safety,public health safety,traffic safety,public facility safety,public security safety,information security and social security were selected to reflect the sense of security of the masses.Secondly,based on the moment estimation theory,the optimal combination weighting is selected by combining the advantages of subjective and objective weighting.Taking a single subjective and objective weight as a sample point,the objective function with the least deviation from the subjective and objective weights is established,the optimal combination weight of each index is obtained.Through the weight calculation of the people’s sense of security score,and the use of gray correlation degree to divide and evaluate the score.Finally,choose the correlation coefficient test,t-test,analysis of variance to analyze the factors that affect people’s sense of security,the analysis found that gender,age,education level,monthly income and people’s sense of security have significant impact.It is also found that the sense of psychological security has an important impact on the sense of security of the masses.By using the grey forecasting model,the author analyzes the sense of security of the masses,the forecasting precision of the model is good,and the sense of security of the masses can be reasonably predicted. |