Research On The Impact Of Population Aging On Industrial Structure Upgradin

Actively coping with population aging is a longterm strategic task of our country.The “14th Five Year Plan” period is an important period of strategic opportunities to deal with population aging,so the upgrading of industrial structure,as a focus of realizing the high quality economic development during the “14th Five Year Plan” period,is bound to be affected by population aging.At the same time,the report of the Party’s twenty National Congress points out that education should be given priority to development,science and technology should be selfreliant and selfreliant,and talents should lead and drive.It can be seen that education,science and technology and talents play an important role in China’s active response to the aging population,promotion of industrial structure upgrading,and realization of high quality economic development.On the basis of collating relevant literature at home and abroad,based on the impact of population aging on the upgrading of industrial structure,this thesis deeply discusses the role of higher education in it,and puts forward research hypothesis.The proportion of the elderly aged 65 years and above is used to describe the degree of population aging.Measure the upgrading of industrial structure from two dimensions of industrial structure rationalization and technicalization;The comprehensive development level of higher education in each region is measured by 12 specific measures from three dimensions:the opportunity level of higher education,the investment level of higher education and the quality level of higher education.The econometric model was constructed,and the paneldata of 28 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)(excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan,Tibet,Qinghai and Ningxia)from 2010 to 2020 were used for an empirical study to test the proposed research hypothesis.Summarize the research conclusions and make relevant policy recommendations.The conclusions of this thesis are as follows: first,the acceleration of aging population process will hinder the rationalization of industrial structure and the improvement of technical level.Secondly,the influence of population aging on the rationalization and technicalization of industrial structure shows regional heterogeneity.Thirdly,the influence of aging population on rationalization and technicalization of industrial structure is also different with different levels of marketization.Fourth,higher education plays a moderating role in the influence of population aging on the upgrading of industrial structure,among which,the development of higher education can weaken the adverse impact of population aging on the rationalization of industrial structure.Through the threshold effect test,it is found that there is a single threshold value of 0.1643 for the development level of higher education.When the development level of higher education is lower than this threshold value,The estimated coefficient of population aging on the rationalization of industrial structure is 0.369,and when the development level of higher education crosses this threshold,the estimated coefficient of population aging becomes 0.183.Therefore,the policy suggestions put forward in this thesis are as follows: first,based on the basic pension service and the improved middle and highend pension service,accelerate the cultivation and development of the aging industry and the elderly service industry according to local conditions,and improve the social security system and pay attention to the participation and support of the elderly population.Second,we should attach importance to investment in the field of education,strengthen the cultivation and introduction of talents in the field of higher education,and perfect the policy of talent introduction.We should not only pay attention to the change of the "quantity" of higher education,but also pay more attention to the improvement of the "quality" of higher education.Third,highlight the important role of higher education in promoting industrial structure upgrading and addressing the challenges of an aging population,support the deep integration of higher education into social,economic and cultural fields,and promote scientific and technological innovation and industrial structure upgrading.