A Study Of Life-cycle Changes And Farmland Dependence Among Migrant Workers’ Households

The rural transformation is facing the dilemma of increasing demand for land for large-scale agricultural production and insufficient supply of agricultural land for the bottom-line protection of migrant workers in urban areas.It is an urgent task to explore the direction of dynamic land matching system innovation based on the change of human-land relationship in the economic structural transformation and to avoid the "two-cum-stagnation".To discuss the relationship between the life cycle changes of migrant workers’ families and the dependence on farmland livelihoods,"migrant workers’ families" are the entry point and perspective,and their essence is to discuss the issue of the man-land relationship under the background of industrialization and urbanization.This article mainly has three levels of innovation.One is the perspective level innovation.It not only uses migrant workers’ families as individual units but also uses panel data to reflect the temporal and spatial evolution of migrant workers between towns and villages.In a real sense,it explores the dimension of the family life cycle.The relationship between man and land;the second is the innovation of causal inference and matching.According to the classification and comparison of family composition that affects livelihood choices in each life cycle of migrant workers’ families,we can analyze the different factors that affect their livelihood choices at each stage,rather than in general terms.The land is forcibly matched with a certain group and motivation;the third is the rethinking of the theory of the man-land relationship.With the current“stabilizing contracting rights and deactivating management rights” becoming the main keynote of the new round of rural land system reform,a large sample and The choice of farmers’ behavior to reflect their true positioning in the relationship between man and land is the starting point and endpoint for discussing the realization of farmland property rights.Guided by Marx’s theory of land property rights,life cycle theory,development economics and other related disciplines,using CFPS 2010 and 2018 data,divide the family life cycle based on the structure of migrant workers’ family members,and further "form the early stage-the initial stage","Start-up period-Maturity period","Mature period-Empty nest period" and other three family life cycle spans,as an entry point to clarify the current situation of man-land relationship in the context of industrialization,urbanization,rural hollowing,and facing the new situation of rural revitalization And identified as three behavioral experiments,"the proportion of household agricultural income in total household income" as an explanatory variable reflecting the degree of farmland livelihood dependence;in addition,based on the change direction of farmland livelihood dependence at each stage of the life cycle of migrant workers,through joining The adjustment variables and control variables find out the unique or common causes of the changes in farmland’s livelihood dependence at each stage;finally,through the construction of the "Family Continuous Income Index",the alienation of the natural behavioral choices of migrant workers’ families and their family structure endowments is reflected The most real "human-land relationship" at the current household level is the thinking dependence of "the farmer should own the land"(asset land rights),or the economic dependence of "cannot live without the land"(business land rights),Or is it the guarantee of "satisfying daily food supply"(business land rights),and on this basis,explore feasible ways to realize farmland property rights.The conclusion shows that migrant workers’ families are in the “pre-formationinitial stage” leap,and their farmland livelihood dependence decreases.When migrant workers’ families are in the “mature-empty nest period” leap,farmland livelihood dependence increases,and the eastern and central regions There are phase differences in time and space with the western region;intergenerational responsibilities and intergenerational inheritance of parental endowments have positive and negative heterogeneous effects on the first stage,respectively.Work unit contract signing,indemnity insurance,and housing during the urban labor period The purchase of provident funds has a negative heterogeneous effect on the third stage.