Research On The Risk And Prevention Of Poverty Relapse Among Poverty-stricken Households In Ethnic Minority Area

Achieving the strategic goal of poverty alleviation and building a moderately prosperous society in all respects by 2020 on schedule is a historic victory that will go down in the history of the development of the Chinese nation.On January 2,2023,the CPC Central Committee and The State Council issued the Opinions on the Key Work of Comprehensively Promoting Rural Revitalization in 2023,which specifically stressed that the achievements of poverty alleviation should be consolidated and expanded,and the bottom line of not returning to poverty on the scale should be firmly maintained.Guizhou’s ethnic minority areas,which used to be deeply impoverished,are the key points and weak points to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation,and are also prone to the risk of large-scale poverty return.The prevention and control of poverty return needs high attention.Based on the regional and ethnic characteristics of the ethnic minorities in Y Town,Guizhou Province,and relying on the multidimensional poverty theory and risk management theory,this paper conducts field research,expert interviews and questionnaire surveys in Y Town to analyze the main factors that lead to farmers’ return to poverty.The risk index system constructed in this paper includes 6first-level indicators and 24 second-level indicators.The weight of the indicators is calculated by using the analytic hierarchy process,and the comprehensive evaluation results of the risk of poverty alleviation are obtained by using the fuzzy evaluation method,so as to identify the influencing factors of the risk of poverty alleviation.The research results are as follows: First,according to the evaluation value of the risk evaluation model and the judgment of risk grade,the grade of risk of poverty reduction in Y town is identified as average.Secondly,from the perspective of six index dimensions,the highest risk assessment value is income,the second highest is family,and the last is policies and regulations,production and living conditions,poverty alleviation methods,and consumption.The main influencing factors of Y town’s return to poverty were attributed to weak agricultural foundation and single industrial structure.Backward ideas,the wind of comparison prevailing;Low awareness of poverty alleviation and lack of endogenous motivation;Lack of infrastructure,security system needs to be improved;Lack of policy cognition,political concept is weak.According to the research results,the prevention and control strategies of poverty return risk are as follows: 1.Explore characteristic resources to promote high-quality industrial development in minority areas;2.Second,strengthen the construction of spiritual civilization and help revitalize rural culture;Three and more channels to stimulate the endogenous motivation of farmers to establish a normal poverty alleviation mechanism;4.Increase investment in poverty alleviation and improve the public service guarantee system;5.Strengthen the implementation of policies and risk prevention and control strategies such as joint governance and sharing of poverty alleviation achievements,so as to prevent the risk of farmers who have lifted out of poverty in ethnic minority areas from returning to poverty.