Research On Risk Assessment Of China's Natural Gas Imports

At the 18th National Congress of the People's Republic of China(PRC),the 15 th National Development Plan(NDP)aims to achieve 10% of the country's energy consumption rate.Natural gas is considered to be one type of clean energy and its benefits are enormous,it can be burned as fuel for cooking,generating electricity,used as mechanical propulsion,as a raw material in the chemical processing industry,etc.,Another advantage is that the combustion of carbon dioxide is lower than the energy of other fossils.It can be said that energy is the basis for the development of an indispensable economy,as well as determining the competitive advantage of domestic and international business.Rapid economic growth has increased demand for energy,domestic natural gas production has not been able to meet domestic demand,so there is a need for foreign natural gas imports.However,natural gas imports are not as smooth as we thought,as there are many risks to be faced.The import risk assessment for natural gas is to plan for short-term and long-term imports,in order to make the natural gas industry grow efficiently.The number of imports jumped,the price was too high,and some places were caused by insufficient natural gas reserves.Assess the natural gas risk of countries that export natural gas to China.But importing natural gas is not easy,as it faces uncertain risks and challenges.Natural gas import risk assessment is a precautionary measure designed for the country's short-term and long-term natural gas import,not stopping to develop the natural gas industry more and more.Imports of natural gas are growing rapidly;some parts of the country are facing shortages of natural gas,to ensure the safe supply of natural gas has established a system to assess the risk of importing natural gas.The risk index consists of five dimensions:external dependence risk,political stability risk,economic development risk,potential export risk,and maritime transport risk.Analyze the theory of assessment and prevention of China's natural gas import risks.It has been analyzed geopolitical theories,theories of natural gas pricing mechanisms,theories of oil and gas geography,sustainable development theories and risk management theories.It has been examined about the past and present context of China's natural gas prevention and risk assessment.Based on reliable statistics and figures from relevant stakeholders,analyze the current state of China's natural gas protection and import assessment.Through inquiries with experts related to the natural gas industry,identify the risks faced by importing natural gas.To assist in the establishment of a natural gas import assessment system,create a model to evaluate Chinese natural gas imports,in evaluating the complex Internet index,the physical characteristics of the network system are taken into account,Incorporate the concept of tracking,shaping,and mobilizing groups into an assessment of natural gas imports,create a risk assessment model for a motion detection monitoring graph,It can handle complex non-linear character problems,From the perspective of those who assess the risk of China's natural gas import volume from 2010 to 2016,The results show that:(1)The overall risk of China's natural gas imports is increasing,with the biggest risk being the potential export risk,followed by the risk of political instability and maritime transport risks.(2)From the perspective of the prospect on the value of risk-related participation of natural gas import risks,High-risk candidates include Trinidad and Tobago,Nigeria,Egypt and Indonesia(Trinidad and Tobago are most involved).The value of risk involvement is increasing day by day,at the same time,the risk of political instability and the potential for exports could be a major obstacle to trade.(3)Low-risk candidates include Yemen,Malaysia,Australia,Qatar(Qatar with the lowest participation),Overall risk participation values ??are stable outside of Yemen.Then the internal risk structure of the low-risk actors is very different.In addition,the study also offers advice on reducing the risk of importing natural gas into China.This research paper on importing countries conducts a thorough assessment of natural gas imports,which is a definite warning example.