| Along with economic development and outbreak of the real estate industry, the furniture industry shows the urgent demand of rapid expansion and transformation. Based on the cluster development of traditional furniture industry, how to enhance the core competitiveness using the thought of supply chain management is the key to promote the furniture industry cluster to the furniture industry cluster supply chain. Although we have introduced numbers of polities, take the establishment of the industry cluster of production and marketing integration of furniture industry as the important development strategy; because of the lack of theoretical research and guidance system, under the influence of variable inter-external economic policy and inherent defects of furniture industry, and the problems of low quality of production, the weakness of technology development and design innovation ability, the phenomenon of product homogenization, the fracture of furniture supply chain and the lack of leading enterprises, the operation of furniture cluster supply chain is always vulnerability and instability. Based on the background, the dissertation deeply analyzes the form, mechanism, recognition, coordination of risk subject and prevent of risk of furniture industry cluster supply chain, comprehensively using the industry economics, system science, supply chain management, game theory, system dynamics and fuzzy theory. The dissertation takes the Guangdong Shunde furniture industry the leader of furniture industry as the example, to detailed discussion, tries to establish the comprehensive evaluation model of risk of furniture industry cluster supply chain, put forward a strategies of risk prevention in order to maintain the core status of furniture industry in the global value chain, to promote the construction and innovate development of forestry industrial system, to contribute for the "two types" social construction.Firstly, the dissertation proposes the key of stable operation of furniture industrial cluster supply chain, recognition and prevention of its risk management through study the domestic and foreign industrial clusters and supply chain theory, and combing the background of development of furniture industry in China. Differentiate the furniture, the furniture industrial cluster supply chain and the difference between furniture industry cluster supply chain, and from the perspective of value chain analysis of the characteristics of the furniture industrial cluster supply chain risk, combining the theory of risk management is proposed in this study’s risk management processes, clear furniture, the furniture industrial cluster supply chain and the logical relationship of risk management..Secondly, the dissertation contrast the development status of furniture industrial cluster supply chain on the background of economic crisis and new normal from the angle of development situation, put forward the possibility of its risk; analyzes the complexity and stability mechanism of risk of furniture industrial cluster supply chain using the logistic model in order to define the nature of its risk. Thirdly, the dissertation decompose the furniture industry cluster supply chain, recognizes and selects the key risk source and risk factors of furniture industry cluster supply chain based on the HHM model, defines the relationship among this factors using ISM model. Fourthly, establishes the evaluation system of furniture industrial cluster supply chain, determines the weights of key risk sources from the static and dynamic dual point; establishes the model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, grey comprehensive evaluation and risk matrix, scientific evaluate the overall risk level of furniture industry cluster supply chain. Fifthly, the dissertation analyzes the risk subjects and principle of interest coordination of risk of furniture industry cluster supply chain, explains its benefit demand through the game relation among the risk subjects so as to establish the profit allocation model of furniture industry cluster supply chain and put forward the coordinate strategies of risk subjects. Sixthly, from the angle of endogenous and exogenous, the dissertation proposes the risk prevention strategies of furniture industry cluster supply chain through the surface, middle layer, deep and gradual manner. Finally, the dissertation takes the risk analysis of furniture industry cluster supply chain of Guangdong Shunde, analyzes the risk factors, establishes the model of comprehensive risk evaluation, judges the degree and level of risk, put forward the ideas of risk prevention and verifies the effect of risk management. |