Research On Industry Transformation And Upgrading In Jilin Province From The Low-carbon Economy Perspective

Since the ’United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change’ has been developed and implemented, reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and development of low-carbon economy has become the consensus of the international community. Chinese government pays rather high attention to the climate warming problem, and has planned to reduce the intensity of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP in 2020 by 40%50% based on 2005’s level. The achievements of the reduction target in Jilin province over the years has been slightly better than the national average. However, the heavy chemical industry is the prominent features of local industrial structure, which brings tremendous pressures on further reduction of carbon dioxide emissions. To achieve the goal of low-carbon economy by reconstructing and updating the industrial structure has become an inevitable choice for further development of Jilin Province.First of all, this paper gives a comprehensive review on the academic trends of the industrial structure and low-carbon economy, provides several conclusions on the concepts about the low-carbon economy and industrial structure, as well as the theories about the modification, optimization and evolution of industrial structure, and, seizes the interaction and relationship between the low-carbon economy and industrial structure. Base on the above, this paper tries to understand and deconstruct the mechanism between industrial structure and carbon emission.Second, based on the current situations and the objective reality of low-carbon economy and industrial structure, it is quite obvious that in most of countries all over the world, the effect of the industrial structure is still the key factor on the carbon emission and the retroaction from carbon emission to industrial structure is just started to form. Therefore, in this research, a single-base method of the ratio among different industrial phases had been used to evaluate the reasonable level by Hamming approach degree. The results confirmed the industrial structure of our country is contained within a basically reasonable situation and the development among the different industrial phases is in harmonic pace and order. To estimate the level of the industrial gradation with Moore index, the general results indicate that the industrial gradation updating is rather steadily. The adjustment of industrial structure has a very important influence on carbon emissions. According to the analysis with gray correlation model measurements, carbon emissions are significantly associated with the secondary industry. Therefore, to develop low-carbon economy, the effort should be focused on the adjustment of the secondary industry.Third, in view of the above-mentioned facts, this paper has analyzed the economy current situation and energy consumption in Jilin Province, discussed and deducing the trend between evolution of industrial structure, energy consumption and carbon emission. As in the big picture, the energy consumption is growing rather fast in Jilin Province and coal is the primary fuel. The carbon emission has kept growing gradually every year, and both the intensity and per capita carbon emission are apparently higher than the national average. Via the view of thrice industrial energy consumption and carbon emission level, the trend of energy consumption ratio and emission intensity has been decreasing in the primary industrial phase. Manufacture is the key field in controlling the carbon emission of secondary industrial phase and the energy consumption ratio and carbon emissions are relatively much lower than the former.Forth, the usage of the multi-purpose input-output optimization model to implement empirical analysis on the low-carbon economy industrial sectors in Jilin Province, and seeking for the path to a win-win solution between carbon emission and economy development under the constraints of the input-output balance. In this paper, MATLAB has been applied to study on the relevant data of 2013, three plans drawn to solve the case: the ecological low-carbon plan, economic development plan and the balance plan. The solutions predicte the development and industrial proportion among the 24 industrial sectors in 2020 and point out the priority of the development should be focusing on the transportation facility manufacturing, food manufacturing, tobacco industry, chemical industrial, wood processing and furniture manufacturing etc. On the contrary, the non-metal mineral product industry, metal smelting and processing, petroleum processing, coking industry, nuclear fuel processing, metal minerals mining and dressing industry should be developed with restraints.Fifth, based on the primary industrial standards and principles to build up a reasonable index system with DEA analysis method to guide the selection of industrial development priority. For these purposes, this paper has established a selection system on six benchmarks, namely comparative advantages, industry growth, technological progress, industrial relation, economic efficiency and low energy consumption. On this basis, the index system includes the six first-grade and eleven second-grade indicators to comprehend and deconstructe the case with DEA analysis. The simulation results have indicated that the alternative selection should be divided in to three levels: the first level is the core leading industries(transportation equipment manufacturing and food manufacturing and tobacco processing industry); the second level is priority industries(chemical industry, general and special equipment manufacturing); and the third level in order to encourage the development of industry(wood processing and furniture manufacturing and communications equipment, computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry).Finally, to promotethe industrial restructuring and upgrading in Jilin province in a low-carbon background, we put forward relevant policy recommendations. In the macro view, the policy should take a path base on the strategy consideration, economy adjustment and technical support. Upgrading the industrial structure, strengthening the innovation and reconstruction achievements should be the fundamental way. The reduction of carbon emissions is not sustainable when sacrificing the development of economy. Technological progress is the key to industrial transformation and upgrading. Upgrading the industrial structure and encouraging high-tech industries could change the old development patterns of resources dependence and reduce the carbon emission and its effects on global climate, essentially. An important way to realize the low-carbon economy is to adjust the industrial structure under the guidance of low-carbon demands, then obtain the transformation of low-carbon development, and finally rebuild a brand new economy growth engine.