Research On The Industrial Export Structure Adjustment Of Shandong Province Based On The Analysis Of The Embodied Carbon

Coming into the 21st century, global climate change with the characteristic of global warming is becoming the problems of environment and development which human is facing, and it threatens the sustainable development of the human society. For a long time, we found that in order to solve the problem of climate change truly we must get rid of the reliance on fossil fuels fundamentally, and realize the transformation to the production and consumption of low carbon way. Therefore, exploring low carbon trade development become the inevitable choice of all countriesChina has big energy consumption and soon will be the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide, facing great pressure of reducing carbon dioxide. At the same time, China is the second largest trading country in the world, with high dependence on foreign trade, and our country is in the process of industrialization and urbanization, facing the problems of rapid economic growth requirements, backward technical level and increasing employment pressure which will seriously hinder the development of low carbon trading.Shandong province is also a large exporter in our country, earning a large number of foreign exchange by exporting products, while the export products hide in a large number of implied energy. These exporting products earn small profit, use a lot of resources, and emit a lot of CO2 and other pollutants. Large amounts of carbon emissions make China at a disadvantage status in international affairs. This paper mainly analyze the export embedded carbon emissions of 24 industries and the influencing factors of carbon emissions in Shandong province, so that put forward some suggestions about how to realize the export structure turning to low carbon.This article is divided into six chapters.The first chapter, introduction. Major topics include the background and significance of the paper, the research present situation of both domestic and abroad, the structure arrangement of this paper and so on.The second chapter, explain the basic theory for development of low carbon trade. Firstly, this paper introduces the related concepts of developing the low carbon trade; and then expounds the related theories of low carbon trade, including the sustainable development theory, externality theory, "pollution heaven" hypothesis, carbon cycle theory and environmental Kuznets curve watts. The third chapter, measure carbon emissions of export trade in Shandong province and analyze the factors of affecting carbon emissions. This chapter calculates the total carbon emissions of export trade in Shandong province using the input and output method, finding that there are a large number of carbon emissions products bearing for foreign consumers in the form of product exports. Then this chapter analyzes the factors affecting carbon emissions in Shandong province. Using the methods of unit root test, co-integration test and Granger causality analysis, this article do the empirical research of the relationship among the total carbon emissions, export trade, GDP and energy consumption in Shandong province from 1984-2010.The fourth chapter, analyze the impact of carbon tariff. This chapter analyzes the possibility of China to be imposed carbon tariffs, the legitimacy, rationality and feasibility of the carbon tariffs, and the economic impact of carbon tariffs on Shandong export department.The fifth chapter, the export structure of Shandong province turning to low carbon faces serious challenges and various opportunities. The challenges includes: the energy problem, environmental issues, economic and technical problems and the system problem. And favorable conditions includes:good economic, social and cultural environment, rich clean energy, the superior geographical position and the "yellow triangle" impetus function, domestic policy support, and the driving role of the clean development mechanism.The sixth chapter, this article proposes countermeasures about turning export structure of Shandong province to low carbon. According to the above challenges, the recommending policy includes:energy, economic structure, financial, technical support and support from system and ideas.