Economic Analysis Of Poultry Industry In China

In the development of animal husbandry, Poultry industry is the most traditional, ancient and important livestock industry and it plays an increasingly important role in resolving the "three rural" problem, optimizing agricultural structure and meeting the people's demand for meat products. With the development of national economy, poultry products will continue to be China's important source of animal protein, and continue to make tremendous contributions to the future sustainable development of China's agriculture.Poultry meat and egg production developed rapidly since the 1990s, poultry meat production is not only growing faster, but also in an increased share in meat year after year. The main province of poultry production is Shandong, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Liaoning and Hebei, with its output accounting for about 47 per cent of national output. Egg production is gathered in northeast China, Central China and East China region. Based on the above, the paper has calculated contribution rate of material inputs, labor and technology. The rate of poultry is 86, 16 and 17 percent; Rate of egg is 43, -9 and 71 percent respectively. With different scale, different regions there are different costs and benefits. Technology, industrial organization and input price have affected costs and benefits.Since the 1990s, the total consumption of poultry products is rising. The main market of poultry is eastern coastal areas of China and main market of egg is western. In recent years, with the improvement of people's living standards, the prevalence of fast-food consumption, the consumption of poultry products outdoor is growing.Circulation and processing of poultry products has an important influence on the development of the poultry industry. Before 1978, poultry products have been strict State Monopolied for purchase and marketing; In 1985 after fresh agricultural products circulation system has changed fundamentally, poultry products gradually run under the market prices. In recent years, the market price of poultry products has stabilized, and slightly downward trend, prices of poultry products is influenced by price of other animal products, income of residents and feed prices.Only 5 percent poultry product is been intensive processed, and 95 percent of eggs is in the form of listing. At present, poultry industry is weak in processing technology, product structure and the standard system. In the 21st century, China has been comprehensively become a net importer of poultry. China's import of poultry egg is only breed eggs, egg exports remain the dominant position.In the above study, the paper make a Chinese poultry industry equilibrium modle which including production, consumption, foreign trade and circulation. This part is my innovation of paper. After testing, the paper forecast the future trend of China's poultry industry. In details, the paper has made five scenario and made forcast of the future. By calculation if people's income increased by 9 percent, price of feed increased by 15 percent and exchange rate increased by 2 percent, the supply and demand of poultry products will change.Based on the above, the paper made the following recommendations: On poultry production, the number of poultry should be properly controlled, large-scale breeding should be hold out, production costs should be reduced and efficiency of breeding should be improved; We shoule support leading enterprises, and promote the industrialization of the poultry industry pace; At the same time pay attention to improve grass-roots organizations and veterinary training, a disease control network. On consumption, restoring consumers'confidence is the key to boost domestic consumption. The Government, Media and trade associations should propergandize in variety of forms. On processing, we should vigorously develop the poultry processing industry, enhance the added value of poultry products, in particular increase varieties, and actively carry out intensive processing. On foreign trade, we should introduce foreign advanced technology, increase the intensity of investment and develop emerging market; In addition, macro-regulation and control on the poultry industry is also essential.