Research On Business Evolution And Its Risk

In this dissertation,a systematic research has been conducted on the business evolution and its risk,employing the knowledge and methodology of the management science,economics,biology and statistic comprehensively.Some important theories and concepts,such as the connotation and properties,the process and mechanism of the business evolution,as well the competition for survival,the risk of business evolution,have been studied thoroughly.Moreover,some empirical studies on the evolution of some specific businesses and populations have been implemented by questionnaire.The first part refers to introduction.The goal and significance of the research have been presented at first.Then the relative literatures has been reviewed and summarized systematically in this domain.The main contents,methodology and research framework have offered as well.The second part touches the research on the connotation of business evolution and business ecosystem.A comparison has been given between the creatures and firms on the view of business gene(meme),business organism,business population and communities.The opinion on the double chain structure of business DNA has been modified,as well the concept and model of business ecological chain has been advanced,based on which the biological properties of business has been concluded. The connotation of business evolution has been presented,after the analysis and summarization on the concept,features and format of business evolution as well the evolutionary difference between creature and business.This dissertation has also scrutinized the concept and structure of business ecosystem,expatiated the characteristics of the evolution of business ecosystem in each period.The third section has detected the process and mechanism of business evolution. Based on the work of defining business surroundings and exploring business niche theory,the dissertation has disclosed the influence of business surroundings on business evolution,summarized the pattern and properties of business growth in the process of its evolution,clarified the properties of business evolution,as well discovered the mechanism of business evolution.In the fourth part,the dissertation has analyzed the problems of competition for survival of business and evolutionary game referred to business population.It has told that the contents of the theory of business survival involving the laws of survival curve,tolerance,Bergrnann's law and r-police & k-policy respectively, as well explained their business ecological meaning.From the viewpoints of the overlapping of business niche,the separation of the niche and the dimension of niche,the competition strategy based on the theory of niche,and the relationship between the separation of niche and operation staggering,the theory of competition for survival has been expounded.Finally,it has been discussed about the mechanism and strategy of the evolution of business population employing evolutionary game theory.It has been discussed about the problem of the risk in business evolution in the fifth parts.The dissertation has studied the mechanism of risk occurring in the process of business evolution after the discussion on the impact of business external and internal environments on business evolution.Then it has set forth the mechanism of risk diffusion in the process of business evolution based on the analyzes on the properties,species,path,critical factors,process of risk diffusion and prediction of the transmitting of the risk of evolution,finally,the dissertation has established an early-warning model on the risk of business evolution,as well studied the theory and measure of controlling the risk in business evolution.The sixth part has referred to the empirical study of business evolution, establishing a early-warning model referred to business gene catastrophe and telling the framework of the early-warning of catastrophe.Afterwards,employing the gray model and multi-criteria fuzzy appraisal model,the dissertation has disclosed the relationship between the IT business's meme and its growth in order to identify the key memes dearly which affect its growth most,scrutinized the factors affecting the fitness of hi-tech incubating business,and testified the results with some real cases. Finally but not the least,employing SEM,the dissertation has analyzed and testified the influence of the ecological factors on the evolution of target business.