Research On The Harmony And Sustainable Development Of The System Of Economic, Energy And Environment(3E System) Of Jiangsu Province

Presently,high economic devlopment of Jiangsu Province depends to a large extent on energy consumption.How to coordinate synthetic decision-making of energy system, environmental system and economic system and achieve win-win of energy consumption, environment protection and economic growth is a major problem in economic sustainable development.Therefore,based on the 11^th Plan of Jiangsu Province,coordination of economic,energy system and environmental system and sustainable development is a research project worthy of being probed.The research is composed of the following:(1) Correlative ananlyses of economic system,energy system and environmental system of Jiangsu Province.Firstly,from the aspect of productive factors,the correlative analyses of gross domestic product,capital and labour of Jiangsu Province are provided. Secondly,from the aspect of efficiency of productive factors,the correlative analyses of overall labor productivity,fixed assets investment efficiency and energy intensity are also provided.Finally,matrix correlativity between the pollutants and energy consumption are provided from the aspect of kinds of energy consumption.(2) Analyses of the economic system of Jiangsu Province.Firstly,the effect of influencial factors of overall labor productivity of Jiangsu Province is analysed by using the method of index decomposition.Secondly,influencial factors of fixed assets investment efficiency of Jiangsu Province are measured.Furthmore,the influence factor effect of fixed capital investment efficiency of Jiangsu are analysed.Finally,a total factor productivity analysis model is established to analyse the contribution to economic growth from technological progress.(3) Analyses of energy system of Jiangsu Province.Firstly,a chaotic system dynamics model of energy production is established to forecast the energy production of Jiangsu Province and the benefit from energy fixed asset investment is also analysed. Secondly,a measuring model of declining rate of the total energy intensity is established to forecast the declining rate of the total energy intensity of Jiangsu Province and the declining rate of the total energy intensity and the effect of influencial factors is also analysed.Furthmore,an economic losses estimate model is established to estimate economic losses resulting from energy consumption.Finally,a model for measuring and appraisal of energy saving is established to analyse the impact of the growth rate of energy consumption of Jiangsu Province and that of outputs.(4) Analyses of environmental system of Jiangsu Province.The hypothesis of environmental Kuznets curve of Jiangsu Province is verified,thus the discharges of pollutants can be predicted.Secondly,the current situation on environmental protection investment of Jiangsu Province is analysed and suggestions are also provided.Finally,a system dynamics model is established to analyse the relationship between production modes and pollutants discharging.(5) A comprehensive evaluation of coordination and sustainable development of economic,energy system and environmental system of Jiangsu Province is carried out.