Risk Management Research Of Communications Construction Project Under EPC Mode

With the issuance of 3G licenses, the telecom operators increase investment to improve the network coverage, and carry out the upgrading of network equipment in order to cope with the fierce market competition actively. In the field of communication, both equipment manufacturers and telecom operators are actively or passively applying the technology methods and tools of project management in their process of managing, but these are for the management of project quality,schedule and investment, researches and practices that aim for the risk management are quiet few. With the entering to the rapid increasing period of communications construction of our country, technological development and competition as well as competition in the market also come into the white-hot extent. Complexity of the Communication construction projects is becoming more and more sophisticated, not only in the aspect of so many sides it involved: investors, owners, general contractors, subcontractors, supervision as well as government departments, but also the mutual influence of the participator makes project management more complex. In addition, the uncertainty of the external environment in projects makes the risk increase. Facing with the more complex macroeconomic environment and more participants, how to enhance the enterprise risk management capabilities and efficiency to ensure a stable security construction environment and to reduce risk is a priority thing. Risk management is an important aspect of project management, although the study of risk management has become a high degree, but the use and development in the communications industry is late, and the researches and applications are also very little, and the management level compared with other industries is relatively backward. At present, many communication projects in practice are making decision based on the experience of the project leader so that the details are lack of scientific data and management processes.EPC model is widely used in the various countries, it is also the future way of the communications construction project management models of our country.Therefore, the research to the risk management of the communications construction under EPC model has a forward looking.The aim of this article is from the practice of project management of communication construction, through summarize the historical data of communication construction project management, build risk factor structure and put forward relative risk strategy basing on the analysis which with some qualitative and quantitative methods, so as to supply data and theoretical model to risk manager and hope to further instruct practice. Through the method of summarizing from practice to theory and then using this theory to guide practice, finally using the improved practice to promote the research of theory, expecting provide some examples and reference value to risk managers' and improve their decision level, thereby promote the study and develop the risk management. From the research of construction, we can find that many analysis and evaluation of project risk are all analyze from qualitative, quantitative analysis is very little, not to mention the communication construction engineering field. This article is based on the existing literature and engineering practice, start with the practice of communication construction engineering, research and innovation from the following aspects.First: Majority Quantitative Study of risk management now is based on two-dimensional variables. In this paper, on the base of illustrating the risk's connotation and characteristics, I put forward the definition of risk based on the two level and four dimensional variables In addition, on the basis of carrying out the specific analysis and deep illustrating to the risk factors of both owners and the general contractor under EPC model, we give out the three level and 17 risk factor list based on the communications' construction projects and skeleton of risk management.Second: we use fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for risk analysis and assessment based on AHP.The loss is split into the influence of progress, quality and cost for the risk of four-dimensional variables in the text in order to build a six-dimensional uneven variables power function.Finally, some empirical methods are applied in the research by comparing the two methods in order to improve the comprehensiveness and reliability of risk analysis and assessment.Third: we study the risk game of communication construction projects under EPC mode from the below three ways: the tendering and bidding, three-sides of the owner and the general contractors and the supervision, the owner and the general contractor. At last we draw the conclusion.Fourth: we conduct an in-depth risk analysis and counter measures, then build a PC risk strategy arrow diagram and PC risk strategy response analysis table from prerequisite, specific way, result, the means and the application of the risk type.In this paper, the main research ideas I take is the principal of combining qualitative and quantitative, and combining theory and practice. In this paper, the core technology is to build two mathematical models: fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for risk analysis and assessment based on AHP method and six-dimensional uneven variables power function based on risk four-dimensional variables, and study the risk game of the communication construction projects under the EPC mode from three ways mainly using the method of fuzzy mathematics, power function, game theory, management theory and methods, etc.This article is divided into six chapters: Chapter I illustrates and analyze the connotation, research background and communication projects' development of the risk and risk management; Chapter II is to identify risk factors of communication construction projects under EPC model; Chapter III is the analysis and assessment of communications construction project risk factors under the EPC mode; Chapter IV is to establish communication construction project risk plan and its risk monitoring and response measures. The chapter also studies the risk game of communications construction project under the EPC mode from three ways and draw the conclusion; Chapter V is the practice validation on the base of previous chapters, finally puts some specific measures; Chapter VI summarizes the full text concluded that the main research results and pointed out the lack of research and future directions.