Empirical Study On Transformation Of Circulation Industry Development Mode

With China's economic rapid development during 30 years of reform and opening up, fundamental changes of overall pattern of supply and demand in commodity markets have taken place. General shortage of commodity market has been transformed into overall surplus, and from a seller's market into a buyer's market, moreover the constraint role of market demand to economic development is larger and larger. The status and role of circulation industry in national economy and social development are increasingly obvious. However, for a long time, China's circulation industry development has been relatively extensive, and its organization level is low. There are inefficient distribution and backward management tools, technologies and standards in circulation enterprises. To promote sustained and healthy development of national economy and meet people's growing material and cultural needs, it is urgent to transform the mode of circulation industry development and fully rely on scientific and technological progress to improve the quality of workers, and continuously optimize circulation industrial structure.In order to scientifically evaluate transformation of circulation industry development mode, and to explore impacting factors and look for the path of transformation of circulation industry development mode, this article takes Zhejiang province as a study object, which has more developed market economy and is the representative of circulation industry development. By establishing evaluation index system for transformation of circulation industry development mode, this paper analyzes the characteristics of transformation of circulation industry development mode in Zhejiang province, and compares Zhejiang province with other coastal regions or provinces and cities in East China where levels of economic development are close to that of Zhejiang province. Further, from the perspective of industrial economics, the article studies empirically the relationship between transformation of circulation industry development mode and circulation industry association, circulation industry structure, circulation industry ownership structure, etc.. On this basis, the paper combines with successful experience of transformation of circulation industry development mode in developed countries and puts forward some corresponding policy recommendations. This paper uses multi-level, multi-dimensional data and combines with various methods, such as input-output analysis, comprehensive evaluation, dynamic measurement, and comparative study, etc., to empirically study transformation of circulation industry development mode. It focuses on outstanding statistical characteristics in the whole study course.The study content contains nine chapters. The first chapter elucidates the background, theoretical and practical meaning, and it reviews the related literature and brings forth the viewpoint, methods, aims and research paths. The difficulties and innovations are also showed in this part. Based on reviewing the research of scholars at home and abroad about circulation and circulation industry, the second chapter redefines circulation and circulation industry, and draws on relevant outcomes of economic growth and economic development mode, also puts forward the content and crux of transformation of circulation industry development mode. The major theories in this chapter include new growth theory, new institutional economics theory and industrial economic theory. According to the general principles of evaluation, the third chapter establishes assessment system for transformation of circulation industry development mode, which includes evaluation principles, evaluation index and evaluation methods. Based on the data of Zhejiang province of 1980-2007, the forth chapter uses the evaluation index system for transformation of circulation industry development mode in the third chapter to dynamically analyze the status of transformation of circulation industry growth mode in accordance with Solow residual value method, and carries out comprehensive evaluation for transformation of circulation industry development mode using factor analysis method. Then using econometric models, it analyzes empirically affecting factors of transformation of circulation industry development mode. Finally, a vertical and horizontal comparison and analysis on transformation of circulation industry development mode is conducted in this chapter. Taking industrial economics as the main theoretical basis and using input-output model, the fifth chapter adjusts the input-output tables over the years in Zhejiang province and compiles input-output tables of circulation industry. Through the analysis of calculation results and vertical and horizontal comparison (with the economically developed regions), it studies industrial properties of Zhejiang circulation industry and points out the problems of Zhejiang circulation industry development. The sixth chapter first discusses the content of circulation industrial structure optimization and the impact on industrial structure optimization to transformation of economic development mode. Then using factor analysis method, it analyzes statistically on the status of Zhejiang circulation industrial structure and establishes evaluation index system of circulation industrial structure optimization, in addition carries out comprehensive evaluation for the status of circulation industry structure optimization in Zhejiang province using factor analysis method. It also analyzes empirically affecting factors of industrial structure changes using econometric models. The seventh chapter first discusses the impact on changes in ownership structure to transformation of economic development mode. Then, it analyzes empirically on changes in ownership structure of Zhejiang circulation industry and transformation of circulation industry development mode. The content includes change history, current situation and trends in ownership structure of Zhejiang circulation industry, and empirical research on changes in ownership structure of Zhejiang circulation industry and performance growth. The eighth chapter expounds the conditions and international experience of transformation of circulation industry development mode. Based on the results of previous theoretical analysis and empirical research and combined with international experience about transformation of circulation industry development mode, the ninth chapter draws corresponding conclusions and puts forward some policy recommendations. The future orient of this research field is also expected.Taking Zhejiang province as an example, this paper uses mainstream economic theories, such as new growth theory, industrial economic theory and new institutional economics theory, etc., and selects different statistical and econometric methods to theoretically discuss and empirically study the meaning, characteristics, mechanism of transformation of circulation industry development mode from multiple perspectives. Some conclusions are drawn in this study. First, the position and role of circulation industry in national economy continue to strengthen. Circulation industry has strong ability to absorb labor force, but its basic industrial characteristics are not obvious enough. There is a certain gap between Zhejiang province and the economically developed regions in circulation industrial features. Second, Zhejiang circulation industry is consumer-driven, investment-driven and export-driven industry. The induced role of final consumption, investment demand and export demand is strong to circulation industry, of which the induced role of consumption is strongest. Currently, to stimulate the final demand, particularly, to positively develop rural consumer market and cultivate new consumption hot in cities and towns can promote circulation industry to rapidly develop. Third, a lot of positive changes have taken place in Zhejiang circulation industry development mode since the reform and opening up, but some indicators still lag behind comparing Zhejiang province with coastal regions or. provinces and cities in East China where the levels of economic development are close to that of Zhejiang province. At this stage, circulation industrial development mode of Zhejiang province is still at the extensive investment-driven stage. Fourth, many factors, such as development scale, development potential, marketization, urbanization, etc., have a positive role for transformation of circulation industry development mode. Simple labor investment does not favor circulation industry technology advancement. Human capital has positive advancement function for transformation of circulation industry development mode. Fifth, generally speaking, circulation industrial structure of Zhejiang province has been continuously optimized since the reform and opening up. Advantage in traditional circulation industries has been weakened while new industries are rapidly developing. But the various industries development is not balanced within Zhejiang circulation industry and there is a unreasonable trend for circulation industrial internal structure in the short term and there is significant difference in the impacting factors and function degree of circulation industrial structure changes. Sixth, the ownership structure adjustment of Zhejiang circulation industry has made great achievements. The circulation industry changes in the ownership structure have significant positive effects on promoting circulation industry market performance. However, contribution of changes in the ownership structure to growth rate of circulation industry is still not large enough and the difference of economic performance among different ownership structure in circulation enterprises is large.According to above empirical research findings of circulation industry association, circulation industry structure, circulation industry ownership structure and transformation of circulation industry development mode, and combined with successful experience of transformation of circulation industry development mode in developed countries, this paper presents the corresponding policy recommendations about transformation of circulation industry development mode in Zhejiang province.Comparing with other researches, this study has several innovations, such as research perspectives, research methods, research object, research ideas and so on. First, this paper uses mainstream economic theories to reveal the mechanism of transformation of circulation industry development mode from the perspective of industry association, industry structure and ownership structure. Second, this paper uses multi-level, multi-dimensional data and combines with various methods, such as input-output analysis, comprehensive evaluation, dynamic measurement, and comparative study, etc.. It focuses on outstanding statistical characteristics in the whole study course. Third, this paper takes Zhejiang province as an example to conduct empirical analysis. Zhejiang circulation economic is dynamic. There are rich industry types and a variety of forms of ownership in Zhejiang circulation industry. Therefore, the choice of such a study object is entirely consistent with China's national conditions and is a very good model. Fourth, this paper tries exploring the system root of transformation of circulation industry development mode from the perspective of the system, and analyzes specifically an important role of the changes in ownership structure of circulation industry to improve circulation industrial economic performance and to promote transformation of circulation industry development mode. In the meantime, some regrets and insufficiencies also exist in this study, such as the comprehensive of study contents, comprehensiveness of evaluation index system, completeness of statistical data and other aspects, which will be the main direction of further study and research in the future.