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Study On The Multi-core Emergency Synergy Decision-making Methods In Emergency Management

Posted on:2013-08-19Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y GaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:1229330392452501Subject:Management Science and Engineering
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The Collaborative group decision making problem is a scientific problems undercomplicated conditions of coordinated decision in emergency management. Theproblems not only based on the emergency plan system and each collaborationmembers of the knowledge base and database, also want to consider the differentcooperation members of the collaboration way, reasoning method and Organizationstandard and other factors. The target is to product a general emergency disposal plan,based on the emergency plan of all kinds of process, organization and coordinationrequirements, according to various members of the local alternative. At present, it willproduce a series of problems it includes different ways of decision-making, eachcollaboration members self-discipline poor, confused combination scheme and theworse of the system stability and effectiveness, considerring the disposal process ofcomplex giant system characteristics,in Collaborative group decision making process.In this thesis, much research is deployed aiming at resolving above problems. Thedetails of results are as follows:1) A multi-agent mission planning and decision making framework based onorganization standard has been established. The framework added self-discipline andnegotiation ability about members, made multi-agent cooperation way and thecooperation form of different departments in emergency environment more closer,thus, improved the system decision adaptability and decision-making efficiency byintroducing the organizational standard and constraint requirements in emergencymulti-agent decision-making system.2) The emergency disposal process of multi-level inference method is designed.The disposal process in each department has different forms of reasoning behavior.Especially in internet of things, each department of professional fields had highlyindependence and intelligent. This made the join which come from different ways ofreasoning in multi sectoral linkage become critical in decision making reasoning.3) According to the department of a variety of alternative emergency disposal,based on scenarios of logical reasoning mode determining method has beenestablished. Based on scenarios of logical reasoning mode determining method hasbeen put forward, in the emergency disposal process for scenarios alternativespartition problem. In system making decisions, emergency scenarios and departmentalemergency treatment were considered at the same time, the target is to determine the programme of action in some specific emergency scenarios.4) Base on the scenarios and semantic reasoning pattern matching method hasbeen established. When the system made a decision, it made the emergency situationand emergency treatment as a factor, at the same time. The scenario was identified notonly with the real accident environment consistent, but also with collaborativereasoning department requests a semantic consistency. It can be determined for eachagent high fitness scene, which can match the environment and the collaborativemembers, when making a decision.5) From the angle of system introducing the multi-objective robust optimizationmethod, it can realize the robust and effective of reasoning in the emergency disposalprocess. From the system point of view, the system stability, validity and emergencymanagement requirements of timeliness must meet the requirements of emergencydisposal process. This required to optimizate multi-agent collaborative decisionmaking from the system point and achieved its robust ability in real environment.Thus, it established the corresponding multi-objective robust optimization model anddesigned non dominated sorting genetic algorithm to achieve the stability of thesystem.
Keywords/Search Tags:emergency management, organization, scenarios, framework, optimization
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