| The past century, the global climate is undergoing significant changes to warming as the main feature, The contradiction between economic development and environmental protection become more and more obvious. Series of scientific research show that there is a direct relationship between carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions. More and more apparent as the harm of climate warming. Various countries are now actively seeking carbon reduction pathway. In order to minimize the economic costs of the largest emission reduction effect. With the rapid economic growth of developing countries and the growth of carbon dioxide emissions. Developed countries increasingly tend to require developing countries to control carbon emissions and undertake emission reduction obligations. After the Third Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in1997. The developed countries One after another put pressure on developing countries. They believe that to achieve the control the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to prevent dangerous interference level on the climate system from target. China, India and other developing countries have to implement a large number of actions to reduce emissions.At present China has become one of the fastest growing economies in the world’s countries. With the accelerated process of industrialization and urbanization. Both fossil energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions are significant increasing. It has also become an excuse for some developed countries to limit China’s economic growth through energy consumption. They think China should take on more emission reduction obligations. China is facing tremendous pressure to reduce emissions. In order to cope with the international conservation opinion and in line with the sustainable development of our own. Our continuously make efforts in reducing emissions.There are two premises in the human response to climate warming abatement process. The first is how much emission reductions to facing for each of the individual countries. It has achieved some success in various international consultative meeting. The response also has formed a constant evolution and increasingly sophisticated international institutional framework. Undertakeing emission reduction obligations has become the unanimous voice of the international community. The second is is how much emission reductions to facing for various countries. It is still in the exploratory stage. Especially in china,Because there is large regional disparities. The partition control method to achieve overall emission reduction targets only through domain decomposition. This article is based on a background. In the point of final demand. Using input-output and econometric models to explore the regional distribution of the total energy carbon dioxide method. There are great significance in theory and practice In he point of theoretical sense. The introduction of carbon emissions as an important factor in supporting economic development. The carbon dioxide emission requirements for the residents fair consumer and healthy economic development should be met equally. Theoretically enrich the connotation of equitable development rights in development Economics, The egion allocation scheme which both achieve the national environmental protection goals and achieve economic growth needs make environmental protection and economic growth to Concrete. It is great theoretical significance.In the point of view of practice sense. The area allocation method considers regional differences fully. The regions can be achieved through the efforts. It provieded basis for egional energy carbon dioxide emissions assessment before domestic carbon trading platform is not yet ripe. And fully consider a fair energy carbon dioxide initial allocation also laid the foundation for the establishment of domestic carbon trading platform. The establishment of domestic carbon trading platform to be able to achieve a fair and effective carbon allocation of resources. Furthermore, the energy total control of carbon dioxide the principle of fairness and efficiency of the regional distribution principle also pointed out the direction for the future formulation of a carbon tax. It have great practical significance.This paper is mainly to solve the following problems:1. Countries proposed carbon intensity control commitment. But to achieve the emission reductions in true sense.We must be seen in the total amount of carbon emissions control. Carbon intensity target is only a transitional stage to the total target. It gives the economic development sufficient respite. So the first question to be addressed in this article is to reduce the national carbon intensity commitment into total control commitment. To lay the foundation for later analysis.2. Studying of the laws of history as well as the impact of changes in energy carbon dioxide factors are very important for the achievement of the country’s total carbon emissions control targets.It provids historical experience or insufficient for future emission reduction. This article addresses the second question is the impact of carbon dioxide in the national energy total impact of various factors.3. Region decomposition for countries to meet the carbon emissions target must take into account the various regions to achieve energy amount of carbon dioxide. Developments must take into account the differences in various regions, This article addresses the third problem is that the degree of differences of various regions in China carbon emissions as well as the cause of these differences.4.Because the country’s overall industrial layout needs and the comparative advantages of the various regional development. Regional carbon transfer through the product flow. During the regional distribution of the total carbon emissions,Countries must take the carbon transfer factors into distribution, This article addresses the fourth question is the inter-provincial existed in the past how much carbon transfer, what are the main factors affect carbon transfer, and how future carbon transfer.5. on the basis of the few questions. This paper presents a how regional distribution of national energy carbon dioxide emissions, Both to ensure fairness, but also due to consider the efficiency.In order to solve the problems mentioned above, we organized a full-text content from the following chapters:Chapter1:Introduction.This chapter introduces the research background, the significance of the topic, research ideas and possible innovations.Chapter2:Theory of carbon emissions and carbon emission control. This chapter is from the initial allocation of carbon emissions calculation method, the influencing factors of carbon emissions, carbon emissions control method and carbon emissions four summary and review of the literature of the past. Chapter3:analysis of national energy carbon dioxide emissions status and control objectives. This chapter is mainly used descriptive statistics method to anlyse energy carbon dioxide emissions, energy and carbon dioxide intensity and energy per capita carbon dioxide emissions in China over the years. And China has proposed to the2020carbon intensity target of45%reduction compared to2005was transformed into total control objectives.Chapter4:National statistical analysis of the main factors of energy carbon dioxide emissions, this chapter uses the2002and2007input-output table. Throught Input-output structural decomposition method to anlyse the reason of changing of total carbon dioxide emissions and energy CO2intensity of various factors. On the one hand has been the impact of various factors, The other hand, historical experience for reference for future mitigation actions.Chapter5:Statistical analysis of the regional energy differences and the impact of carbon dioxide emissions factors. This chapter start from a differentiated analysis of the total volume and intensity of the provincial and municipal energy carbon dioxide emissions. Seek indicators from four economic factors, demographic factors, energy factors and technical factors.using component regression model to seek law to causing carbon dioxide emissions differences.Chapter6:transfer of statistical studies of the carbon emissions of the various regions.. This chapter first analyzes the various areas of international trade and the total amount of inter-provincial trade and industry structure. Second, calculate the carbon load of international trade and inter-provincial trade products. Predicted by changes in the industrial structure of the various regional energy carbon dioxide provincial net transferred out and transferred to the accounting for changes. Laid the foundation for the geographical distribution of the carbon dioxide below the national energy.Chapter7:Studying country’s total carbon dioxide emissions control areas decomposition. This chapter from the point of view of the final demand. Using input-output and econometric models to Regional distributio of carbon dioxide in the national energy goals. Fully consideration of demographic factors fairness, the fairness of the level of economic development, carbon transfer fairness, and efficiency of energy productivity.Chapter8:Summary and Outlook. Summary of the full text of this chapter, and the lack of research in this article and future directions for further research..The innovation of this paper lies in four areas:1、This article explores a departure from the final demand perspective on national energy carbon dioxide goal of total control region decomposition reasonable manner, this allocation is fully taken into account consumer demand fairness, the fairness of the requirements of economic development, regional the carbon transfer fairness andenergy productivity, efficiency, solve the problem of the decomposition of carbon emissions target area.2、 Factors analysis and input-output combined factors affecting the decomposition of the carbon dioxide emissions of the national energy quantitatively measure the degree of influence of various factors, demonstrated control energy carbon dioxide historical experience and weak links, tooa meaningful conclusion. Specifically reveals:the expansion of final demand is a major factor in the increase in the national energy total carbon dioxide emissions,: in which the scale of investment in the most prominent national energy carbon dioxide emissions; China’s net exports did not expand energy carbon dioxide emissions, even suppression growth of energy carbon dioxide emissions, but it should be noted that the changes in structure of net exports expand energy carbon dioxide emissions; effective inhibitory effect of changes in the industry completely carbon emission factors for energy total carbon dioxide emissions, technological progress and demand structure adjustment is the most important ways to control energy carbon dioxide emissions.3、This article explores a basis for expansion in China amount of energy transfer of carbon dioxide put into the output table estimates the inter-provincial trade implied. The specific estimates implied in the various regions of inter-provincial and international trade the number of transfer of energy carbon dioxide emissions, total carbon dioxide emissions for the national energy control objectives reasonable decomposition region to create the conditions.The same time, due to the limitations of the information and personal research level, there are also some shortcomings. The one hand, due to the lack of more recent input-output table data, this study can only use input-output data for2002and2007, especially in the use of regional carbon energy transferred to the share of each region to adjust the amount of carbon dioxide, because of data limitations can only use the2002cross-sectional data were predicted accuracy of this prediction remains to be further verified. On the other hand this paper in order to solve the problem of multicollinearity using principal component panel regression, although the conclusions from theory to explain more reasonable, and principal component regression analysis of the defect is not the original variables significant statistical test.Last, the paper obtained the following conclusions:First, the state during the control of the total carbon emissions must be differentiated according to the development of the various regions of difference allocation of carbon emission reduction targets; Second, the state can guide the inter-provincial carbon emissions net transferred to the regions major provinces and cities on its transport products in the form of financial or technical support in order to achieve the national reduction targets; third, give full play to the role of total factor productivity in carbon reduction; fourth co-ordinate the country’s industrial layout, and further improve the electricity and heat production and supply industry, oil processing and coking and nuclear fuel processing, metal smelting and rolling processing industry, transportation storage and postal services, coal mining and washing industry, non-metallic mineral products industry and the chemical industry energy efficiency and other key emission reduction industry; further improve the national carbon emissions data preparation methods, give full play to the role of national statistical systems in the control of carbon emissions. |
PDF Full Text Request