Study On The Scale And Layout Of Coal Emergency Reserve

On the base of emergency management, energy security, vulnerability, welfare economicsand emergency location theory, the key issues of the establishment of coal emergency reserve, likecoal security vulnerability, coverage area, optimal reserve scale and location of reserve bases, arestudied intensively using system engineering, econometrics and operational research. After someconcepts were defined, coal supply security vulnerability of each province in China is assessedusing factor analysis and the coverage of coal emergency reserve is confirmed on the base of theassessment result. Then, the decision-making model of coal emergency reserve scale is establishedusing welfare economics model and cost-benefit analysis, and the scale of China is calculated.After that, the policy of multilevel coverage, which contra poses to the failure of coal emergencyreserve bases, is presented. And, the location model of coal emergency reserve bases based onmultilevel coverage is established using0-1integer linear programming. At last, the locationdecisions of coal emergency reserve bases in China are presented based on the location model.