A Study Based On Empirical Research On The Tertiary Industry In China And The Dynamic Changes Of Its Internal Structure

In the past30years’development with the policy of reforming and opening, Chinahas created many miracle figures in economical development, which has attractedworldwide attention, so that the development of the tertiary industry has certaincomparative advantages. But we must also see that China’s tertiary industry servicesector surplus of supply to meet the requirements of low-end and high-end serviceindustries insufficient supply and other issues. Therefore, how to promote the healthydevelopment of the tertiary industry is of great significance to China’s rapid economicdevelopment.The study attempts to explore the following questions. First, with the evolution ofeconomic growth, how are the basic conditions of China’s tertiary industry? Second,what changes does China’s tertiary industry have in its internal structure with theprocess of evolution? As to this, what policies has the state carried out to prompt thechanges? And what reaction does the structural change have to the economicdevelopment? Third, what factors can promote its growth, considering the currentsituation of the development of tertiary industry and its internal structure. And how isits potential growth? And the fourth is there any regional difference between thedevelopments of China’s tertiary industry? And how is it clustered in terms of theregional development? These issues are the motion of this study and the focus of theacademic field as well. For the purpose of these studies, this paper collects and checks alarge amount of the tertiary industry statistics, and analyzes the situation of the currentdevelopment of the tertiary industry through empirical approach. And with a variety ofmethods such as factor analysis and cluster, this paper analyses the problems of China’s tertiary industry and its influencing factors on development in details.Chapter1"Introduction" mainly introduces the academic value of this researchbackground and research on the subject of this paper,"tertiary industry" and "theinternal structure of the tertiary industry" concept and to define the scope. This chapteralso reviews the main research results of the third internal structure at home and abroadso as to master the latest research developments. In addition, this paper briefly explainsthe logical structure of the essay and the research methods.Chapter2Theoretical Review on the industrial structure and the tertiary industry,introduces the basic theory needed for this study, including the industrial structureevolution of Kuznets, Cheney’s standard industry model theory, And post-industrialsociety theory of Daniel Bell, Gruber and internal structure theory and Fox Walkertertiary industry service economic theory. And the theory is used to analyze the role ofthe tertiary industry in the economic system.Chapter3focuses on the empirical analysis of China’s tertiary industry structureand employment structure evolution since reform and opening. This study uses sucheconomic indicators as "economic growth","second industrial composition ratio" and"labor constitute" to evaluate the changes in the structure of China’s tertiary industryand employment.The result indicates that the evolution of China’s tertiary industry isstill in line with the general laws of the evolution of industrial structure. The labor ofthe first and the second industries is constantly turning to the tertiary industry, and thetertiary industry increased ratio is rising. However, there exist some problems such asthe third industrial output growth is slow, and the transfer of surplus agricultural laborforce is difficult.Chapter4uses classical economic indicators "employment elasticity""structuraldeviation change" to study the degree of coordination of the tertiary industry structure and employment structure. The results show that China’s employment structure andindustrial structure have a strong correlation, and the tertiary industry which maintainshigh employment elasticity in the three industries has become a major economic sectorto absorb employment. However, China’s industrial structure and employment structurehas been in a deviating state for a long time. Compared with the adjustment of industrialstructure, the adjustment of employment structure is behind, about3-5years’ lag.Chapter5combined the methods of the basic statistics with economic researchmethods. The research result shows the dynamic characteristics of the internal structurein the tertiary industry, increase the proportion of the value of China’s tertiary industrydepartment of internal circulation declining proportion of the added value of the publicservice sector growth is relatively slow, productive service life of service and increasethe proportion rising. China’s tertiary industry employment within the industry, thefastest decline in the proportion of thing distribution industry and public service sector,the service sector in China’s traditional and modern services sector which accounted foran increase of the value of the tertiary industry, though not of par value. But it shows arapidly increase in modern service industry.Chapter6uses molecular analysis, cluster analysis of the factors affecting China’stertiary industry to give an empirical analysis, and make predictive modeling, givingChina’s tertiary industry development direction from the macro. Structure shows thetotal number of tertiary industry, the number of employee in the tertiary industry canaccurately reflect the region’s per capita GDP. Passenger turnover is the main indicatorof the tertiary industry growth capacity. Population density and degree of urbanizationare the basic conditions for the third industrial development. Composite score based onfactors clustering display the sort of the cities, modernization of the tertiary industry inBeijing, Guangzhou and Shanghai are higher, but it is much lower in Guizhou, Xizang and Gansu.Chapter7puts forward some suggestions on China’s industrial structureadjustment and reasonably healthy development of the tertiary industry, based on theabove findings of each chapter. The study recommends as follows: industrialrestructuring should adhere to both the manufacturing and services; industrial structureoptimization can help to promote their three-dimensional of three industries; makecoordination to the relations of industrial structure and employment structure. Fosterthe development the body of tertiary industry, getting to know the modern serviceindustry becomes bigger and stronger; enhance the degree of market, promote theoptimization and upgrading of tertiary industry; vigorously develop the productiveservice industry, make it to be as the third industrial upgrading breakthrough;optimizing the internal structure of the tertiary industry, adjustment optimized policiesservices production; accelerate the pace of urbanization construction, provide a goodenvironmental protection for the development of tertiary industry.Study of the tertiary industry is a significant and complex systematic engineering.This study attempts to specialize the tertiary industry and the dynamic changes of it’sthe internal structure, focus on the developing trends of the internal dynamic change ofChina’s tertiary industry. The results of this study are bound to provide the central andlocal governments with data support for them to formulate the government or regionaldevelopment plans of the tertiary industry and other related policies.