Research On The Measurement And Evaluation Of Four Modernizations Synchronization

According to the logic thinking of “what, why, how to do”,on the foundation of the literature research, data collection and field survey of Four Modernizations Synchronization, the researches have laid the study field of vision, established the theoretical basis,comprehensively compared and analyzed the measurement methods, deeply analyzed the case study and put forward strategies to solve the problem by utilizing the method of literature research, theoretical analysis,comparative analysis, and empirical analysis.The study has sorted out the domestic and international research status of Four Modernizations Synchronization; clarified the connotative meaning, basic features and mechanism of Four Modernizations Synchronization; comprehensively screened the evaluation index system and the measurement methods; researched the Henan Province case, gained the conclusion according to the evaluation measure, and tried to put forward suggestions finally.The conclusions of this thesis are that:(1) One of basic focus points in synchronous coordination development of Four Modernizations is to gradually resolve the regional gaps in regional and urban and rural development.(2) The different regional policy system should be constructed to promote spatial regional policy optimization. The purposeful direction and the structure construction of Four Modernizations Synchronous evolution should be controlled by making full use of the mechanism of the main factors affecting the Four ModernizationsSynchronous.(3) To promote the Four Modernizations Synchronization development, industry base of industrialization should be established; employment platform built; revenue opportunities created; integration and leadership of informization function emphasized to promote the economic transformation and upgrading; the capacity of supporting the agriculture, countryside and farmers continued to increase to guide the transfer of social capital to the field of agriculture, countryside and farmers in order to promote agricultural modernization; urban infrastructure and public service development environment of urbanization constructed to attract population transfer and agglomeration; the loose system and policy environment for the development of small and medium-sized enterprises built; the reform of decreasing the regional differences in the household registration system continued to deepen; the promotion function of the industrialization and urbanization driving agricultural modernization enhanced.The innovation of this paper lies in:(1) The theoretical bases of the interactive mechanism about Four Modernizations Synchronization have been explained comprehensively, including systematically analyzing the synchronous interaction mechanism theory; constructing the theoretical analysis framework; deeply interpreting each "single" concept and the basic connotation of Four Modernizations Synchronization; striving to expand the base support theory about system theory, coordination theory, industrial chain theory,geography theory, Internet+ theory; thoroughly combing and analyzing the interaction mechanism about the 6 categories of the Four Modernizations Synchronization; put forward the evaluation direction.(2) The comprehensive extraction of the index system has been constructed,including reasonable overall selecting the evaluation index system of the Four Modernizations; theoretically screening the preliminary index system; using fuzzy membership degree to determine subordination; using degree of correlation analysis method to measure the relative relationship to streamline complex index.(3) The comprehensive index data preprocessing has been finished, includingcomprehensively analyzing thinking and method of the pre-processing of index data;introducing the ideas and methods of data standardization; reviewing the ideas and methods of data indicators weight assignment; comprehensively analyzing the method and mathematical principle of Entropy method, Standard deviation method, CRITIC method and Subjective weighting method, which makes the research can grasp the overall situation of measurement evaluation data processing ideas and methods of Four Modernizations Synchronous.(4) The comparative analysis of the comprehensive development level measurement evaluation method and applicability has been finished, including comparatively analyzing the principle and the applicability of Principal component analysis method, Fuzzy hierarchy analysis method, TOPSIS method, Entropy method etc. so as to promote researcher's field of vision and the ability to grasp of the problem.(5) The main method and applicability of evaluating the coupling coordination development level of Four Modernizations Synchronous has been analyzed comparatively, including Coupling method, Coordination method, Grey correlation degree method, Unit root, and Grainger method in a systematic way.(6) The evaluation of Henan case with Four Modernizations has been constructed,including utilizing the theoretical literature, evaluation index system, index data processing method and main evaluation measure method to the specific application in Henan case.(7) The policy recommendations have been put forward using the results of the Henan case evaluation to construct the actual research logic series framework and research process.There still is the improvement potential in the index system construction, the multivariate selection of evaluation method and the data empirical analysis, and so on.