The Impact Research Of Trade Development Potential On Economic Growth Of The Countries Along One Belt And One Road

President Xi Jinping put forward the important initiative of One Belt and One Road in 2013.The initiative emphasizes that the countries along One belt and One road should seek mutual benefit,win-win cooperation and common development.The construction of One Belt and One Road has become an important driving force for the economic growth of countries along One Belt and One Road.Foreign trade has become an important engine for the economic growth of countries along One Belt and One Road.It is of realistic significance to study the impact of trade development potential of countries along the One Belt and One Road on economic growth for China to promote international cooperation on production capacity and accelerate the development of new advantages in international economic cooperation and competition,and enhance China's global value chain status and promote China's industrial restructuring,and carry out supply-side structural reform and accelerate the transformation of the pattern of foreign trade development in the context of the new normal,and continue to optimize regional open-plan and achieve coordinated development of regional economy.This dissertation applies the theory and method of econometrics and international trade and industrial economics and other disciplines to study the influence of trade development potential on economic growth of the countries along One Belt and One Road by qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.According to the conclusion,some countermeasures and proposals are put forward in the dissertation.This dissertation uses the four indicators to measure the trade development potential,including export diversification,export concentration,trade openness and export growth rate.It comprehensively studies the impact of trade development potential on economic growth.It first introduces the meaning and background of the topic and the present research situation and trends about the selected topic of domestic and foreign scholars.Meanwhile,research ideas,research method,main research content and innovation and deficiency of the dissertation are systematically described.It introduces the theories about impact and impacting mechanism of trade development on economic growth systematically in the theoretical basis part of the dissertation,including the theories of economic growth,trade development impacting economic growth and impacting mechanism of trade development on economic growth.When qualitative research is conducted on the trade development and economic growth of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road in the dissertation,it studies trade development on economic growth of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road.It analyzes qualitatively present situation and characteristics of trade development between China and the countries along One Belt and One Road.Basing on analyzes statistically the ecomomic growth of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road,it analyzes the impact of trade development on economic growth of among China and the countries along One Belt and One Road,including promoting the optimization of the allocation of factors,technological progress and improving the level of human capital.When the dissertation analyzes the trade development potential between China and the countries along One Belt and One Road,it studies the trade competition and complementarity between China and the countries along One Belt and One Road by qualitative analyzing.It uses various means of special econometrics to study the impacting factor of bilateral trade potential between China and the countries along One Belt and One Road by constructing the spacial gravity model on this basis.It explores the impact of trade competition and complementarity on bilateral trade potential of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road.When the dissertation empirically analyzes the impact of the trade development potential on economic growth of the countries along One Belt and One Road,it mainly uses the four indicators to measure the trade development potential,including export diversification,export concentration,trade openness and export growth rate.Meanwhile it constructs an empirical model of the economic growth of the countries along the One Belt And One Road,and then it uses the estimation method of static panel model and dynamic panel model to estimate the model of economic growth.The results show that the domestic total capital,export growth and export concentration of the countries along One Belt and One Road have significantly promoted economic growth.The export growth rate and export concentration are important factors to promote the economic growth of the countries along One Belt and One Road.The population growth,technological progress,export diversification of and financial development in the countries along the One Belt and One Road have curbed economic growth.The impact of the human capital,trade openess and labor on economic growth in the countries along One Belt and One Road are not significant.At last this dissertation put forward some policies and advises to further promote the trade development and economic growth of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road.Based on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research of the above chapters,this dissertation puts forward policies and advises to expand the trade scale and improve the level of trade cooperation of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road,and release fully trade cooperation potential of China and the countries along One Belt and One Road in order to realize economic development and common prosperity of China the countries along One Belt and One Road.