Research On China's Emergency Industry Competitiveness And Development

With the increasing prosperity of social economy,the world has also entered a period of high incidence of public emergencies.The emergency industry is the top priority in the emergency response and emergency management system for responding to public emergencies.The key and the best way to improve the society's comprehensive ability to respond to emergencies are promoting the development of the emergency response industry,which is also beneficial to guarantee people's health and security,the stability and harmony of the society.However,as an industry that provides effective prevention and emergency preparedness,monitoring and early warning,disposal and rescue and other measures and means in various emergencies,there are lack of sufficient domestic research on its development and competitiveness.Insufficient analyses of its internal laws of evolution,external development situation restrict facilitating the domestic emergency industry to a great extent.Therefore,it is necessary to study more deeply the emergency industry's development and management mechanism of our country,so as to make it better serve the improvement on our rescue capability and ensure better operation.This study divides emergency industry into perception and early warning,prevention and protection,rescue and disposal according to the classification standard of emergency industry at the domestic government level.Based on resource allocation theory and industrial competition theory,this study analyzes the development of China's emergency industry from four aspects: market size and forecast,industrial structure and industrial chain analysis,social consensus and development speed.The operational characteristics of China's emergency industry are proved according to the policy environment,economic environment,social environment and technical environment are analyzed in depth.Based on this,this study builds an evaluation system for China's emergency industry competitiveness based on the “diamond model”.Specifically,it analyzes the components of China's emergency industry from four aspects: production factor analysis,demand condition analysis,supporting industry and related industry analysis,strategic structure and competitor analysis.In addition,this study also established the framework of China's emergency industry competitiveness evaluation system and corresponding evaluation indicators,and formed a theoretical analysis model of China's emergency industry competitiveness evaluation model.And it analyzed the competitive strength of China's emergency industry from the occupancy rate analysis,display comparison and technological transformation ability,and analyzed the competitive potential for China's emergency industry from the state of industrial operation,technology input intensity and industrial competitiveness.This study is based on system dynamics,established the system dynamics simulation modeled on China's emergency industry development,and a comprehensive analysis was carried out about the sustainable development of China's emergency reserve capacity and related industries.Based on the result of simulating the scale of emergency industry development in the decade of 2017 to 2025,this study emphatically analyzed the sensitivity of technology expenditure,mission expenditure,reserve fee,medical expenditure and public safety expenditure in the factors affecting the development of emergency industry,and at the same time carry out the forecast about the development prospects of China's emergency industry.The study found that:(1)Emergency industry output values is sensitive to science and technology expenditure,and the increase of science and technology expenditure in public finance expenditure can significantly promote the development of emergency industry;(2)Emergency industry output values is not sensitive to emergency education expenditure,and the change of the proportion of emergency propaganda and education expenditure in public finance expenditure has little impact on the development of emergency industry;(3)The output value of emergency industry is sensitive to the reserve fee,and the increase in the proportion of reserve fees can significantly promote the development of emergency industry;(4)Emergency industry output values is not sensitive to medical and health expenditure,and the change of the proportion of medical expenditure in public finance expenditure has little impact on the development of emergency industry;(5)The output value of emergency industry is not sensitive to public security expenditure,and the change of the proportion of public security expenditure in public finance expenditure has little impact on the development of the emergency industry;(6)In the decade between of 2017 and 2025,the output value of the emergency industry will increase from the initial set value of 1000 billion yuan to 2043.4-2376.8 billion yuan,and the increase is about double.Finally,this study proposes policy recommendations to promote the development of emergency industries from the government level and the market level.Specifically,the government should implement the government-led optimization of the emergency industry market,and guide the development direction of the emergency industry with public security needs.At the same time,the market level should improve the support conditions for the development of emergency industries,consolidate the basic needs of industrial development of emergencies,fully explore the opportunities and space for further development of emergency industries,and break with the rapid development and momentum of the development of innovative industries.