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Research On The Cooperative Development Of The Pension Service Industry In Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei By Systematic Dynamics

Posted on:2020-02-16Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:M Q FengFull Text:PDF
GTID:2416330578981427Subject:Management Science and Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Under the background of coordinated development between Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei,with the acceleration of population aging process,the integration of pension services has become an important grasp in the construction of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei.However,the imbalance between supply and demand of pension service is a serious problem that restricts the development of pension service industry in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei.Therefore,it is urgent to simulate the existing policies and adjust the relevant policies appropriately to ensure the integration process of the development of pension service industry in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei.This paper combs the current situation of the development and the influencing factors of the pension service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,and analyses the causality of the variables in the development of the pension service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,by using the system dynamics which called “policy laboratory”.Combing with the statistical analysis method,it establishes SD model to simulate the policy based on the ratio of supply and demand in order to alleviate the imbalance between supply and demand in the pension service industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei.The results show that: firstly,the old-age pension in different places can alleviate the imbalance between supply and demand,but it is not a long-term strategy.Secondly,only when the proportion of pension expenditure reaches at least two in a thousand,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei can realize the balance between the supply and demand of the pension service industry.However,due to the inability to invest too much in the pension service industry,it is necessary to consider introducing private capital to reduce financial pressure.Thirdly,increasing the utilization rate of beds in pension institutions can improve the effective supply of pension institutions and alleviate the imbalance in the user structure of beds to a certain extent.
Keywords/Search Tags:Structural simulation, System dynamics, Synergetic development of BeijingTianjin-Hebei municipalities, Old-age service industry
PDF Full Text Request
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