| The backward development of the agricultural market system has become the main bottleneck restricting the further improvement of the socialist market economy system,and the weakest link is the inadequate development of the factor market.In recent years,through the promulgation of policy documents,the state has repeatedly emphasized the strengthening of the efficiency of market resource allocation of agricultural factors,promoting the modernization of agriculture and rural development,narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas,and promoting the increase of farmers’ income.However,the supply of agricultural factor market cannot match the demand,and the development of each factor market is relatively independent.Especially in the western region where the economic development is relatively backward,the factor market has the characteristics of low allocation efficiency and imperfect market system development,which makes the problems of agricultural factor waste and agricultural economic development lag more prominent.Based on this,the following questions are derived:(1)How effective is the agricultural factor market in the western region? What factors affect the efficient allocation of resources by the market?(2)In the face of the current development status of agricultural factor market in the western region,what interactive mechanism can ensure the rapid growth of various factor markets and promote the overall development of agricultural factor market?(3)What path can be designed to promote the long-term and efficient development of the agricultural factor market in the western region?Based on the above problems,this thesis mainly takes 11 provinces in the western region as the main research object to analyze the development of agricultural factor market in the western region from 2010 to2021.First,from the perspective of market segmentation,hyperbolic aggregation model was adopted to construct the evaluation indicators of the effectiveness of cultivated land market,rural labor market and rural financial market respectively from the perspective of supply and demand,and to determine the effectiveness of each agricultural factor market in 12 years.Secondly,the method of combining grey correlation analysis and factor analysis is used to determine the influencing factors of the market effectiveness of each factor,and analyze the institutional or non-institutional factors that restrict its effectiveness.Thirdly,from the perspective of market integration,the thesis constructs the framework of three-factor market interaction,and verifies the immediate interaction of agricultural factor market based on entropy method and coupling coordination model.Finally,the panel vector autoregressive model was used to discuss the long-term interaction of agricultural factor market in western China.Based on the experience at home and abroad,this thesis designs a path to optimize the development of agricultural factor market in western China.The main conclusions of this thesis are as follows: First,based on the spatial and temporal level,it reveals the effectiveness of agricultural factor market in western China.At the time level,the cultivated land market and rural labor market show an excess demand trend,and the rural financial market shows an excess supply trend.Specifically,to improve the effectiveness of cultivated land market,we must promote the improvement of education level,which has the possibility of improving the effectiveness of cultivated land market.The key to improve the effectiveness of the rural labor market is to promote the growth of agricultural labor productivity,which may precipitate more rural labor force,thus improving the effectiveness of the rural labor market.To improve the effectiveness of rural financial market,we must reasonably control the interest rate of agriculture-related loans,and a small decline in financial prices can increase the effectiveness of rural financial market.At the spatial level,the market effectiveness of the three factors showed spatial heterogeneity.Specifically,the efficiency of cultivated land market in most provinces is a supply-demand fluctuation type,while Qinghai is an over-supply type,and Guangxi,Sichuan,Shaanxi and Xinjiang are an over-demand market.In the rural labor market,most of the northwest provinces(except Xinjiang)and Chongqing show excess demand,Xinjiang,Guangxi and Yunnan show excess supply,and Sichuan,Guizhou and Gansu are supply and demand fluctuation markets.In rural financial market,most provinces are excess supply market,Ningxia is excess demand market,Yunnan,Gansu,Xinjiang and Qinghai are supply and demand fluctuation market.Secondly,based on the temporal and spatial level,this thesis analyzes the influencing factors and their influencing degree of the agricultural factor market effectiveness in western China.At the time level,all indicators in the three-factor market have passed the test of grey correlation analysis and factor analysis.Specifically,the factors affecting the effectiveness of cultivated land market from high to low are education level,rural social security level and fixed assets investment in agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery.The factors influencing the effectiveness of rural labor market from high to low are regional GDP,primary industry labor productivity and rural per capita net income.The factors influencing the effectiveness of rural financial market are the per capita net income level,per capita borrowing amount and financial price in order from high to low.At the spatial level,three years of the initial stage,the transition stage and the end of the study were selected to determine the influencing factors of the effectiveness,and the results showed that the three factors of the market showed spatial heterogeneity.Specifically,by the end of the study,the cultivated land market in most provinces was mainly affected by the level of rural social security,the level of education and the price of cultivated land.The rural labor market is mainly affected by non-agricultural industrial output value in Chongqing and Shaanxi,rural per capita net income in Qinghai,Ningxia and Inner Mongolia,and labor productivity in primary industry in Xinjiang,Guangxi,Gansu and Guizhou.In the rural financial market,most provinces are affected by the added value of the primary industry,and some provinces are more significantly affected by the financial price.Thirdly,the interactive development framework of cultivated land market,rural labor market and rural financial market in western China is constructed,and the immediate interaction relationship of the three markets is discussed based on the space-time level.At the time level,it is calculated that the comprehensive development level of the three sub-systems is the rural labor market,the cultivated land market and the rural financial market from high to low.The calculation results of the coupling coordination degree of the system show that the coupling degree rises from 0.312 to 0.325,and the coupling coordination degree rises from 0.241 to 0.39,and the coupling coordination degree rises from moderate to mild imbalance stage.At the spatial level,the comprehensive development level of cultivated land market is the best in Sichuan,the fastest rising in Gansu,and the weakest in Qinghai.The comprehensive development level of the rural labor market is the best in Sichuan and Guizhou,the fastest rising is Guangxi,and the weakest is Inner Mongolia.The comprehensive development level of rural financial market is the best in Sichuan,the fastest rising in Guangxi,and the weakest in Qinghai.By the end of the study period,the degree of coupling coordination of all provinces was the best in Guangxi,which reached the stage of reluctant coordination,and the other provinces were still in the stage of imbalance.Fourthly,based on the panel vector autoregression(PVAR)model,impulse response and variance decomposition analysis are carried out on the comprehensive development level of the three markets,and the long-term interaction relationship of the three factor markets is expounded.The results show that the rural labor market and the rural financial market can give rapid and positive feedback to the cultivated land market,and the rural financial market can give rapid feedback to the rural labor market,but the cultivated land market can give feedback to the rural labor market,the rural labor market can give feedback to the rural financial market,and the cultivated land market can give feedback to the rural labor market,but there is a time lag.Furthermore,the cultivated land market and the rural labor market have a high degree of mutual influence,and the rural labor market has a greater impact on the cultivated land market.The impact of the rural financial market on the cultivated land market is far greater than the impact of the cultivated land market on the rural financial market,and the impact of the rural financial market on the rural labor market is far greater than the impact of the rural labor market on the rural financial market.Through effectiveness analysis,effectiveness influencing factors analysis,immediate interaction relationship and long-term interaction relationship test,comprehensively drawing on the experience of developed areas in China,the enlightenment of the development of agricultural factor market in western China is obtained,and the optimization path of the development of agricultural factor market in western China is formulated from five aspects: system,organization,personnel,scale and service.It aims to walk out a development path in line with the national economic development strategy and the goal of agricultural power.The innovation point of this thesis is: to construct the research path of "reality status-development level measurement(effectiveness)-operation logic-system optimization",which enriches the theoretical system of the market-oriented development of agricultural factors.From the perspective of supply and demand,based on disequilibrium theory and hyperbolic aggregation equation,this thesis analyzes the efficiency of agricultural factor market,and adopts the method of combining grey correlation analysis and factor analysis to analyze the efficiency of factor market,which is innovative in research methods.The construction of the logical unified framework of the three elements of the market of "cultivated land,labor force and finance" has enriched the practice of the theory of property rights and related theories of system science in the western region. |
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