The Evolution Path Of Economic Growth And Environmental Pollution

In the perspective of economic development level, Guangdong, Hubei and Gansu provinces are selected from China's 30 provinces in the representative of China's eastern, central and western part of different developing regions. We make Quantitative Analysis of the pollution emission and GDP indicators of three regions from 1988 to 2006, in order to speculate corresponding trends of environmental pollution indicators of China. In this paper, Kindergarten Rule Model (Brock, Taylor, 2003) is imported and tested its adaptability in China qualitatively and quantitatively, inferring development stage of different parts in China and analyzing the formation of mechanism. This paper gives suggestions for adjusting the various regions of environmental governance and related factors, from a new perspective to study economic growth and environmental positive relations. After this study of the water pollutant discharge, air emissions, solid waste production indicators and the level of per capita GDP from 1988 to 2006, the regression results showed as follows: (l)In respect of relative pollution emissions, the evolution path of industrial wastewater, industrial SO₂, industrial dust, industrial solid waste emissions targets and per capita GDP is similar to Kindergarten Rule of the right features, a declining trend, namely pollution on the pressure on the overall economic volume decreased; (2) In the absolute volume of pollution emission targets, generally speaking, the industrial wastewater, industrial SO₂, industrial solid waste and other pollution-related indicators of the lower economic level's trends are similar; a higher economic level's trends of Pollution emissions indicators shows instability, marked the rise or fall of repeated changes, not similar to the lower economic level of the region; (3) The regression curves of industrial SO₂ emissions from the total areas and per capita GDP is similar to Kindergarten Rule's left upward trend. With economic growth, regional industrial SO₂ pollution gradually increases. The governance of SO₂ emission related industries is ineffective.