Urban comprehensive passenger terminal is the key to the urban passenger transport system, the intersection of network about some transportation modes and the main location for passenger's transfer between different modes. The number of passenger attracted by the terminal and rate of all transport modes is the basis of determination on the scale of architecture and facilities, also affect the number of vehicles arranged in terminal. Optimization on layout and traffic flow in terminal shortens passenger's transfer distance and time, improves transfer environment and efficiency. The extent of influence by variety of factors on urban comprehensive passenger terminal must be performed by comprehensive valuation. Accordingly, the thesis makes some researches as following:(1) Improved the multiple linear regression model, applied Partial Least-Squares Regression in predicting passenger quantity, improved the multiple correlations between variables. Applied Nest-Logit model in predicting transport mode split in terminal, reduced the extent of affection on the accuracy of Logit model from IIA characteristic.(2) Analysis on the influence of passenger's transfer coordination from transport and commercial facilities in terminal, researched on the methods and principles for organizing traffic flow in terminal.(3) Improved comprehensive evaluation method of fixed weight, the connection between weight and value of indicator highlight the non-key indicators of very low value, the result of valuation reflect reality better.Finally, the thesis integrates improved models and methods with terminal of Beijing West Station. Questions need to be solved are also presented, such as practical application of prediction results, optimization model on traffic flow in terminal, entirety of evaluation indicators on transfer coordination. |