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Forecasting And Analyzing The Corn Market Of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region

Posted on:2003-12-10Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X KangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360062495037Subject:Agricultural economic management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The corn is one of the important crops in China and Inner Mongolia. How to makethe corn fit the market demand is one of important researches in the marketeconomy. Especially when our country join to WTO the corn coming from foreign isbringing the enormous impact and challenge to our own corn .In this paper the authoranalyzes eight economic factors which affect the corn demand and uses quantitativeanalysis methods finding out the main factors that affect the corn demand such asthe price leveU the development level of stock raising % the development level foodstuffprocess industry and supply. According to analysis the quantitative models are set upand forecasted the corn demand in the future. Now the supply of corn is higher than thedemand and the price of corn in the international market is \srtotf than in China andin Inner Mongolia. There are three ways to achieve the equilibrium. One is increasingthe corn demand another is decreasing supply and the other is combiningthe increase demand with decrease supply .The former ways lead to the price in higherlevel and the macro-control measures are invalidity . It is impossible to achieve and it isan unstable equilibrium. But the corn price is a little higher than the international cornprice by the third way. It is possible to achieve a stable equilibrium. At last theauthor puts forward countermeasures and advises which are how to achieve thecorn market equilibrium between demand and supply.
Keywords/Search Tags:Corn market, Demand, Gray relative analysis, Relative analysis, Forecast, Equilibrium analysis
PDF Full Text Request
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