Risk Analysis And Decision-making Of Huge Investment Project

Nowadays, Investment projects need a lot of capital and long constructing and operating duration,so we must think about influence of the uncertain factors,and make risk analysis. At present,there are many achievements of risk analysis and decision-making of huge investment projects,but there are no generally recognized standardization model.Combining the project, this paper tries to establish an applied standardization model and make it be applied to the project.And according to character of management of information system,it also underlines development of computer program.At first,this paper introduces sensitivity analysis and its advantages and disadvantages.Risk analysis is the key point of this paper,and Statistics-analsis method and Monte-carlo method are well studied in this paper.It also introduces recognization of risk,balance of risk,and at last it offers method of decision-making.After theoretical analysis,this paper also offers computer program.Approved by project,it is qualified.