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Study Energy System Between Jiangsu And West Part In Chaotic Time Series

Posted on:2004-05-04Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J H YuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360095951545Subject:Systems Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
This paper uses systematic project for energy system according to Jiangsu and ten province energy conditions in west. It applies nonlinear chaotic dynamics theory in energy system and builds the chaotic dynamics model of energy system: chaotic time series model. The largest Lyapunov index energy time series has been calculated according to decimal quantity method. And it uses this model application in Jiangsu and west province of the energy system. It is forecasted for consumer amount in Jiangsu province and energy production amount and consumer amount in Xinjiang, Qinghai and analyses the supply condition of coal, petroleum and natural gas emphatically. At the same time, it analysis the existent problem of Jiangsu and west energy system according to in forecast result, such as balance between energy supply and demand, energy production structural, energy consumer structure. And it has discussed the significant meaning of west electrical sending to east, west natural gas sending to east project for Jiangsu and west. It suggests strategy of sustainable development of Jiangsu and west. To establish west and Jiangsu energy system power system, it is the common option of Jiangsu and west, it is also that the pair wins strategy of Jiangsu and west.
Keywords/Search Tags:energy, energy production, energy consumer, chaotic time series, forecast, decision support system
PDF Full Text Request
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