The Coordinated Development Evaluation Of Xiamen's Urban Human Settlements System

Nowadays, Urban Human Settlements have become an important factor for city sustainable development and improving city competition. Perfect human settlements pursuit not only the development of economy but also the social and environmental progress. A good program of developing the urban human settlements relies on a reasonable assessment system. Therefore, the researches about the estimating index system and evaluating method for urban human settlements have become a focal point on which scholars at home and abroad all focus.This thesis draws lessons from the research achievements of urban human settlements system both at home and abroad .It also bases on Xiamen's specific conditions to summarize the theory about the constitution of estimating index system for urban human settlements and the evaluating method of coordinated development and forecasting. The main contents include the following aspects. The first chapter makes a review of the related theories about human settlements and relevant estimating index system both at home and abroad. The second chapter bases on the data which can be collected from the related almanac, and divides the urban human settlements into three parts: economy, society and environment according to Xiamen's case, which provides the material to the following analysis. The third chapter briefly introduces the theory of coordinated development and gray system forecasting model. These methods are the basic mathematical tools in the following analysis. The forth chapter and the fifth chapter use the estimating index system of urban human settlements established in the preceding chapter and the theory of coordinated development and gray system forecasting model to make a coordinated development analysis and evaluation of Xiamen's urban human settlements, including economy, society and environment, which bases on the actual data of Xiamen from 2000 to 2005. Through the analysis, the author reveals the existing problems during the development of Xiamen's urban human settlements, and makes some policy suggestions aimed at them. The final part briefly generalizes the main conclusions and the limitations of the thesis.The innovation points of this thesis can be generated as follows: the thesis combines the coordinated coefficient model and the gray model which is improved by auto-optimization of weight, and makes a quantitative evaluation in-depth to Xiamen's urban human settlements from the static and dynamic angle respectively. The perspective is all-around and will definitely become a good guidance to the practice. During the constitution of the estimating index system of urban human settlements, the thesis uses the weighting method of KantiRay to generate some parts of the index into three "Living quality" indexes, avoiding the unbalance of the configuration of the index amounts. However, because of the shortage of some data and the limitations of the author's research ability, the estimating index system of urban human settlements constituted in this thesis is differ from theoretic to some degree. And that's also the main limitation of this thesis.