Research Of The Population Development Evaluation Model

Planning to solve the population problem as a whole is an important and urgent strategic task, which makes economic development, social progress and sustainable development come true. The population integrated development appraisal involves so many indicator systems, which is related to population. How to find a comprehensive population-related development index system is critical to comprehensive evaluation of the modeling process. This paper embarks from the skeleton population integrated development examination evaluation system, which is made use of household survey and individual credit information system in the path of the two data collection methods of combining data collection, using the factor analysis model to determine the required indicators, aiming at the fuzziness and randomness objectively existing in the population comprehensive development evaluation. It summarizes the entropy theory of the information and the fuzzy mathematics theory of fuzzy evaluation to introduce into the population development comprehensive evaluation model, conducting the research to the population grand total development monitor evaluation model.The evaluating indicator will be divided into 4 different levels in this paper, based on the entropy value and the fuzzy set synthesis judgment method, and Construction population integrated development monitor evaluation model. Through the date of the nation and the four municipalities to test the model. The quality synthetic evaluation result showed that population in Beijing and Shanghai integrated development is in the maximum four levels, and Tianjin is in the third levels, the nation and Chongqing in second levels. This research conclusion is tally with the sample city's population integrated development present situation. This proved that we construct the population integrated development entropy fuzzy comprehensive judgment model is a valid model. This model's utilization carried on the judgment to the population integrated development situation to reduce each evaluating indicator weight definite capriciousness, caused the entire appraisal process computation to be more objective scientifically. This utilization of evaluation model has not only given the final appraisal value, and gave back to each evaluating indicator entropy weight and the degree of membership value. Can provide each evaluating indicator to the population integrated development influence. According to these entropy weight and the degree of membership value, we can see that the population in a comprehensive development of a dominant position which indicators, which indicators at a disadvantage must pay attention emphatically what in the next promotion population integrated development's process is which aspect target, the target-oriented formulation related general and specific policies, enhance the corresponding target the degree of membership value, thus enhancement population development comprehensive level.This paper profits from the domestic and foreign population integrated development aspects the research results, innovatively proposed that and drafts in the letter system foundation based on the household investigation to gather the primary data personally, based on this, builds set of science, standard population integrated development monitor indicator system using the present information technological means that and uses the science the assessment method to establish the population integrated development monitor evaluation model, provides the theory and the technical support for the long-term population integrated development observation system movement.