The Real Estate Project Risk Synthetically Estimate

With the rapid development of national economy,the real estate market developed healthy. The rapid development of real estate industry is always followed with high risk. During the course of the real estate project investment decision ,Not only the profit must be taken into account ,but also the risk encountered must be comprehensive estimated. Based on the analysis and research on the real estate project and the risk factor of real estate, Firstly, the influence factors of real estate project risk were analyzed, secondly, depended on influence factors of real estate project risk , their classification and origin, the e real estate project risk estimate index system was build up, which include 3 types: the real estate enterprise risk, the real estate project investment risk, the real estate project investment environment risk, and 14 factors: the reasonableness of the enterprise organization structure, the ratio of liabilities of the enterprise assets, the credit degree score of the enterprise, the proportion of the rise in land price to expected, the proportion of the rise in the build and fix cost to expected, the credit degree score of the cooperate enterprises, the degree of raise funds risk, the degree of financial benefit risk, the proportion of the real estate price reducing to expected, the degree of the risk emerged from consumer, the degree of economic environment risk, the degree of social and political environment risk, the degree of natural environment risk, the degree of projects for basic facilities environment risk, thirdly , The real estate project risk synthetical estimate model was built up based on fuzzy mathematics, at the same time, the model was test through estimating the risk of Xi'an XX real estate project by the model, at last, connected with the test result, the risk may encounter was studied and the appropriate countermeasures were suggested。...