Analysis Of Price Fluctuations Of Garlic And Policy Control

As the basis of people's livelihood, agriculture has been the focus of the community, and in recent years we experience a wide range of prices of agricultural products, like garlic you hard, teasing you, sugar which have become a phenomenon Emperor. We also gradually pay more attention to the abnormal price volatility of agricultural products, This paper selected a representative garlic which has relatively significant price fluctuations as a research target crops, by the analysis of garlic's price volatility, we found the reason and put forward policy recommendations for the future stability of market prices of agricultural products to provide a certain reference value.The paper firstly found fluctuations in the price of garlic from the change trend of nearly a decade of garlic, and then from the supply, cost, demand, export, and hot money speculation analyze the reasons for price fluctuations of garlic. First of all garlic as a kind of agricultural products, the price change has the typical characteristics of divergent cobweb and by comparison, the price volatility of garlic increases year by year, that is why the supply of garlic is along with the volatile price changes. In recent typical years, the 2008's low price makes the majority of garlic agriculture and business down the drain. Therefore, the production of garlic in 2009 has a sharp decrease in market supply, while the price is built on the basis of the cost of formation, the price rose with the rising cost. In the demand side, the 2009 global outbreak of influenza A undoubtedly played a direct role in promoting, which led to a surge in demand at home and abroad as the first disinfection of vegetables called by experts. Supply reduction and demand increase led to an imbalance between supply and demand which led to the rapid growth of the price of garlic. Growth in demand for exports of garlic at the same time generate foreign exchange, we should also pay attention to the problems in the current export of garlic and regulate the export of garlic. The price of garlic in this controversy is the role of a catalyst in the presence of garlic hot money market, The other benefit of financial and real estate markets are not satisfied with the funds so they gradually go into the agricultural market, they through the hype achieve their aim to obtain benefits, It is also our current inadequate specifications for the agricultural market.This paper analyzes the current status of the export of garlic, as China's largest foreign exchange products, The analysis shows that China's current international market,although the garlic in the number of dominant, but in the international market is faced with many barriers, This is mainly caused by the existence of the disorderly competition in exports of garlic as well as other agricultural products. Therefore, the export of garlic should also be given adequate attention and norms.To solve the above problems, the end of the article puts forward policy recommendations, Mainly agriculture-related information system should be established to allow farmers have the right to know the market enough to guide their production decisions. At the same time, for the price of the current divergence of garlic web changes it is necessary to propose building futures market to weaken this volatility. Furthermore we should spread the agricultural insurance to protect the interests of farmers from serious losses because of market volatility.There are many inadequacies in this article, for example the theoretical model is still not perfect, the relevant data is not comprehensive enough which are the problems and directions for improvement I shuould pay attention to in my future writing.