Application Of Computable General Equilibrium Model Analysis The Potential Of Energy-saving In Hebei Province

The shortage of energy resources has been an obstacle of the development of economic in Hebei Province. Economic policies which used to ensure the various of Energy efficiency goals become realization and maintain stady and reapid development of the economy have been introduced by the Government.Because there are some confilicts between the two goals,formulation and implementation of policies need to balance the contradiction between the two goals.At present, the implementation of various energy effects and economic policies to be further verified.This paper combined with the development of economic present situation to explore alternative energy policies. Quantitative analysis the effects of macroeconomic effects and energy saving brought by these policies.It has a very important practical significance.Due to the powerful functions of Computable General Equilibrium model (CGE model ) in policy simulations and base of social accounting matrix(SAM),this paper establish CGE model of Hebei Province. This paper simulated the macroeconomic effects and energy-saving effect of the increased proportion of tertiary industry The results showed that raising the proportion of tertiary industry can not only guarantee stable economic growth iand improve the quality of economic development in Hebei Province,but also there are certain energy-saving effect, is a win-win situation.Taxing energy tax will have a negative impact on economic growth,but it improve the quality of economic growth in Hebei Province. There are also some decrease of energy consumption per unit added value. The effects of energy saving can not be ignored. End of the article proposes some suggestions on how to achieve the goal of energy conservation.