Research On The Industrial Structure Of Sunan Economy And Its Influence Factors

Sunan area is one of the most rapid economic development regions of China, use the advangtage of its location to form a mode of high economic growth with its own characteristc.Along with the rapid economic growth the industrial structure of Sunan has undergone a continuous change,which adopt the growth needs and also affect the develop mode of economic growth. This paper studied the degree of Sunan industrial order and the relationship between the industrial order and economic growth, forthermore, studied the factors affecting Sunan industrial adjust and the intensty of the factors. For the characteristc of fast change of Sunan economy,this paper use small sample theory to solve problems of quantitive analysis and combine the grey system theory to study industrial questions. For the unique advantages of solving problems of small samples advantage, it is theoretically important and significant in practice to introduce the gray model into the study of Sunan industrial structure.The main content of this paper is:1)This paper has firstly studied the development process of Sunan economy in the past few decades, focusing on rural enterprises and export-oriented economic and summarize the achievements and experience. On this base, analyzed the status of the economic growth and industrial structure of Sunan,which studied the features of the total economy and input factors of Sunan regional economy from the perspective of macro economy, and analyzed the situation of its industrial structure by comparion.2) From quantitive point studied the order of Sunan industry and the relationship with economic growth. Use a concept model to descripe the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth, then use the order model based on grey incident to calculate the industrial order, and analyze the change of the order and its trend. Constructed a prediction model of industial sturcture order and economic growth based on GM (1,1) and GM(1,2) mode, and predict the growth speed keeping this trend of industrial order. Use the weaken operator to change the industrial orders to test how the growth changes.The results showed that: as the foundation of the economic growth,there is a certain gap between Sunan industrial structure order and ideal goals, while showing significantly convergence trend towards higher degree. While the increase of industrial order, the economic growth speed will increase.3) analyzed theoretically the factors that affect the change of industry structure. First analyz the factors'mechanism, and proposed comprehensive correlation based on the theory of grey incident to calculate the level of influence for the purpose of finding out its main factor. Then propose suggestions for Sunan area based on the result of model for the purpose of adjusting the industrial structure in the development.